May 3, 2022 Earning the trust of Canadians Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Women in Capital Markets Toronto, Ontario In her first speech with the Bank of Canada, Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about how independence and accountability help the Bank build and maintain trust. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Monetary policy, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
January 15, 2024 Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2023 Consumers believe inflation has fallen, but their expectations for inflation in the near term are showing little progress in returning to pre-pandemic levels. Slow progress may be due to persistently high inflation expectations for services such as rent. In addition, consumers increasingly think domestic factors, such as high government spending, are supporting high inflation, and they believe these factors will take longer to resolve than global factors. Consumers have adjusted their behaviour in response to prolonged high inflation—more people are paying attention to inflation and changing their spending habits. However, actions that may support inflation, such as seeking wage increases to offset it, are dissipating. The negative effects of high interest rates are broadening, and indicators of household financial stress are deteriorating. Consumers remain uncertain about the economic outlook, and this uncertainty is weighing on their spending plans. Workers think the labour market has weakened slightly. However, expectations for wage growth remain high, supported by cost-of-living adjustments in some workers’ wage contracts. Content Type(s): Publications, Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations
June 21, 2006 Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2006 Cover page Irish Gun Money The coins pictured on the cover are part of the National Currency Collection of the Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review
January 13, 2014 Business Outlook Survey - Winter 2013-14 The winter Business Outlook Survey provides some positive signs for the economic outlook, notably for exports and investment, although responses do not yet appear to suggest a significant strengthening. For many businesses, weak demand and domestic uncertainty continue to temper sales expectations and expansion plans. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
Segmented Inflation Dynamics (SID): Identifying Trend Inflation from the Price Index Staff analytical paper 2026-43 André Binette, Colleen Smith This note presents Segmented Inflation Dynamics (SID), a data-driven tool for assessing trend inflation. SID uses time-series segmentation to divide the price index into contiguous segments with stable inflation rates. Based on data through December 2025, SID indicates that Canada’s trend inflation has been near 2 percent since early 2024. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical paper JEL Code(s): C, C2, C22, E, E3, E31, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
The 2021–22 Surge in Inflation Staff discussion paper 2023-3 Oleksiy Kryvtsov, James (Jim) C. MacGee, Luis Uzeda The rise in inflation in 2021–22 sparked a growing literature and debate over the causes of the surge as well as the near- and medium-term path for inflation. This review offers three key messages. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E52, E58 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission
October 29, 2025 Monetary Policy Report—October 2025—Overview The Canadian economy is adjusting to steep US tariffs on several industries and coping with elevated uncertainty. Tariffs have led to a fall in the demand for Canadian goods, affecting the broader economy. The reconfiguration of global trade and domestic production is also leading to higher costs. Total inflation has been around 2%, while underlying inflation has continued to be about 2½%.
September 20, 2023 Summary of Governing Council deliberations: Fixed announcement date of September 6, 2023 This is an account of the deliberations of the Bank of Canada’s Governing Council leading to the monetary policy decision on September 6, 2023. Content Type(s): Publications, Summary of deliberations
October 31, 2024 Registration application fee This supervisory policy explains the one-time fee applicants must pay when submitting an application to register as a payment service provider with the Bank of Canada. Content Type(s): Retail payments materials, Supervisory policies Subject(s): Retail payments, Registration
April 15, 2004 Release of the Monetary Policy Report Opening statement David Dodge The Canadian economy continues to adjust to developments in the global economy, such as stronger world demand, higher commodity prices, and the realignment of world currencies, including the Canadian dollar. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements