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October 20, 2025

Business Outlook Survey—Third Quarter of 2025

Results from the Business Outlook Survey and the Business Leaders’ Pulse reveal that firms’ outlooks and intentions remain subdued despite a gradual improvement in sentiment. Expectations for growth in domestic and export sales are still soft. Most firms do not plan to increase staffing, and investment intentions are restrained. While businesses continue to expect cost increases from tariffs and trade uncertainty, weak demand limits their ability to pass these costs through to prices. One-year-ahead inflation expectations remain below the peak reached earlier in the trade conflict.
October 20, 2025

Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Third Quarter of 2025

Results of the third-quarter 2025 survey show that tariffs and trade tensions continue to affect consumers' perceptions about their financial health and spending plans. The CSCE indicator rose modestly from its most recent low, improved by slight gains in financial health and household spending intentions. But perceptions of labour market conditions deteriorated further, driven in part by a sharp drop in job-finding prospects for public sector workers. Consumers’ short-term inflation expectations remain above their pre-pandemic averages, and expectations for longer-term inflation have picked up again.

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Speeches and appearances

October 9, 2025

Prosperity through productivity

Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Canadian Club Toronto Toronto, Ontario
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses how productivity growth can boost Canada’s prosperity and resilience, especially in a shock-prone world. Focusing on Canada’s banking sector, she explains how competition can improve productivity. But, she warns, it comes with trade-offs that must be managed carefully.

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October 29, 2025

Press Conference: Monetary Policy Report – October 2025

Release of the Monetary Policy Report – Press conference by Governor Tiff Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers (10:30 (ET) approx.).

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