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How Do Import Tariffs Affect Aggregate Prices? Theory and Evidence from Canada

Using Canadian firm-level market shares and an oligopolistic model, the paper shows that a 25% counter-tariff on U.S. imports raises Canada's aggregate price index by 0.66%, far below direct cost pass-through predictions due to consumer substitution and markup adjustments.

The Production Network Amplification of Retaliatory Tariffs

We develop a framework to quantify how tariff changes on imported goods affect sectoral and aggregate consumption prices through direct and production-network channels. Using Canada's input-output matrix and administrative firm-good import data for the universe of Canadian firms, we estimate price elasticities for tariffs on U.S.-imported goods.
October 1, 2026

Speech: Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce and CFA Society Victoria

Canada’s housing market — Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers speaks before the Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce and CFA Society Victoria (15:20 (ET) approx.).
October 1, 2026

Canada’s housing affordability dilemma

Remarks Carolyn Rogers Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce and CFA Society Victoria Victoria, British Columbia
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers discusses housing affordability, focusing on how it became such a challenge over time and why there are no easy solutions.
October 1, 2026

The complexity of housing affordability

Speech summary Carolyn Rogers Greater Victoria Chamber of Commerce and CFA Society Victoria Victoria, British Columbia
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers talks about housing affordability and why it is so difficult to fix, explaining that housing has become about more than just a place to live.
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