Third-Country Effects of U.S. Immigration Policy Staff working paper 2023-60 Agostina Brinatti, Xing Guo We study how the tightening of US immigration policy affects the Canadian economy and American workers. After the reduction in H-1B visa admissions in 2017, more immigrants came to Canada, and Canadian firms expanded their employment, sales and exports. The close trade link between the United States and Canada dampens the benefit American workers derive from this policy change. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): F, F1, F16, F2, F22, J, J6, J61 Research Theme(s): Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply, International trade, finance and competitiveness
Perceived versus Calibrated Income Risks in Heterogeneous-Agent Consumption Models Staff working paper 2023-59 Tao Wang Perceived income risks reported in a survey of consumer expectations are more heterogeneous and, on average, lower than indirectly calibrated risks based on panel data. They prove to be one explanation for why a large fraction of households hold very little liquid savings and why accumulated wealth is widely unequal across households. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): D, D1, D14, E, E2, E21, E7, E71, G, G5, G51 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Real economy and forecasting
December 22, 2023 BNN Bloomberg Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada Interview with BNN Bloomberg Content Type(s): Press, Media activities
December 22, 2023 The Globe and Mail Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada Interview with The Globe and Mail Content Type(s): Press, Media activities
December 21, 2023 Summary of Comments – Summer 2023 Canada Mortgage Bonds Consultation In Budget 2023, the government announced its intention to hold market consultations on a proposal to consolidate Canada Mortgage Bonds (CMBs) within the regular Government of Canada (GoC) borrowing program. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices Source(s): Canada Mortgage Bonds: Government purchases and holdings
December 21, 2023 Summary of Comments – Fall 2023 Debt Management Strategy Consultations Today, the Fall 2023 Debt Management Strategy Consultations Summary is being published, following the release of the Government of Canada’s Economic and Fiscal Update 2023. Content Type(s): Press, Market notices
December 21, 2023 How higher interest rates affect inflation When the Bank of Canada changes its policy interest rate, it affects every part of the economy – but that does not happen all at once. Learn more about how raising and lowering interest rates takes effect through the monetary policy transmission mechanism. Content Type(s): Publications, The Economy, Plain and Simple Subject(s): Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
Climate-Related Flood Risk to Residential Lending Portfolios in Canada Staff discussion paper 2023-33 Craig Johnston, Geneviève Vallée, Hossein Hosseini Jebeli, Brett Lindsay, Miguel Molico, Marie-Christine Tremblay, Aidan Witts We assess the potential financial risks of current and projected flooding caused by extreme weather events in Canada. We focus on the residential real estate secured lending (RESL) portfolios of Canadian financial institutions (FIs) because RESL portfolios are an important component of FIs’ balance sheets and because the assets used to secure such loans are immobile and susceptible to climate-related extreme weather events. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff discussion papers JEL Code(s): C, C8, C81, G, G2, G21, Q, Q5, Q54 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Household and business credit, Structural challenges, Climate change