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134 Results

Perceived Unemployment Risks over Business Cycles

Staff Working Paper 2025-23 William Du, Adrian Monninger, Xincheng Qiu, Tao Wang
Aggregate consumption impacts of heightened job risks during recessions can arise either from ex-ante responses to the fear of unemployment or from ex-post consumption declines due to realized income losses. We use survey-based perceptions of job risk and actual labor market transitions to quantify the relative contributions of these two channels. We further show that belief stickiness limits the extent of ex-ante insurance against job risks.
August 26, 2025

Inflation targeting: A framework for today and tomorrow

Speech summary Tiff Macklem Bank of Mexico 100ᵗʰ Anniversary Seminar Mexico City, Mexico
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how inflation targeting became a leading strategy among central banks for maintaining price stability. He also talks about structural change ahead, shifts in global trade and ensuring monetary policy is fit for the future.
August 26, 2025

Flexible inflation targeting in a shock-prone world

Remarks Tiff Macklem Bank of Mexico 100ᵗʰ Anniversary Seminar Mexico City, Mexico
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how inflation targeting became a leading strategy for maintaining price stability and how the Bank of Canada is ensuring its monetary policy framework is fit for future challenges.
June 18, 2025

The impact of US trade policy on jobs and inflation in Canada

Remarks Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the trade conflict with the United States has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is critical for jobs and growth, and important for prices and inflation.
June 18, 2025

Trade, jobs and inflation

Speech summary Tiff Macklem St. John’s Board of Trade St. John's, Newfoundland and Labrador
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses the trade conflict with the United States and how it is has affected the Canadian economy. He explains that restoring open trade is important for jobs, growth and price stability in Canada.
June 5, 2025

Reaching out for a clearer view of the economy

Speech summary Sharon Kozicki C.D. Howe Institute Toronto, Ontario
Speaking a day after we decided to keep the policy interest rate at 2.75%, Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki discusses how we make better decisions by looking at a variety of data and talking with Canadians.
June 5, 2025

Talking to Canadians: How real-world insights shape monetary policy

Remarks Sharon Kozicki C.D. Howe Institute Toronto, Ontario
Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki talks about how the Bank of Canada is using non-traditional data to better inform its monetary policy decisions.
March 20, 2025

Navigating tariff uncertainty

Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how the US trade conflict and uncertainty is hurting business and consumer confidence. He also outlines what the Bank is doing to ensure the trade conflict doesn’t cause widespread or persistent inflation.
March 20, 2025

Tariffs and trade uncertainty are hurting the Canadian economy

Speech summary Tiff Macklem Calgary Economic Development Calgary, Alberta
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how uncertainty about the trade war with the United States has shaken businesses and consumer confidence. He also reiterates that the Bank of Canada must ensure that high prices from tariffs do not lead to ongoing inflation.
February 21, 2025

Trade conflict: What can the Bank of Canada do?

Speech summary Tiff Macklem Mississauga Board of Trade-Oakville Chamber of Commerce Mississauga, Ontario
Governor Tiff Macklem discusses how a trade conflict would affect the Canadian economy and monetary policy. He also outlines what the Bank of Canada is focusing on as it renews its monetary policy framework.
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