Is the Excess Bond Premium a Leading Indicator of Canadian Economic Activity? Staff analytical note 2018-4 Maxime Leboeuf, Daniel Hyun This note investigates whether Canadian corporate spreads and the excess bond premium (EBP) lead Canadian economic activity. Indeed, we find that corporate spreads precede changes in real gross domestic product (GDP) in Canada over the subsequent year. The EBP accounts for most of this property. Further, an unanticipated increase in the Canadian EBP forecasts a deterioration of domestic macroeconomic conditions: a 10-basis-point increase results in a fall in both GDP and consumer price index (CPI) of 0.4 per cent and 0.1 per cent, respectively, over three years. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E4, E44, G, G1, G12 Research Theme(s): Financial markets and funds management, Market functioning, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
July 15, 2026 Bank of Canada interest rate announcement and release of the Monetary Policy Report On Wednesday, July 15, 2026, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the target for the overnight rate. A press release will provide a brief explanation of the decision. The Bank will also publish its quarterly Monetary Policy Report (MPR) at the same time as the rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
October 18, 2007 Monetary Policy Report – October 2007 There have been a number of significant economic and financial developments since the time of the July Monetary Policy Report Update. Content Type(s): Publications, Monetary Policy Report
July 30, 2025 Bank of Canada interest rate announcement and release of the Monetary Policy Report On Wednesday, July 30, 2025, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the target for the overnight rate. A press release will provide a brief explanation of the decision. The Bank will also publish its quarterly Monetary Policy Report (MPR) at the same time as the rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
October 29, 2025 Bank of Canada interest rate announcement and release of the Monetary Policy Report On Wednesday, October 29, 2025, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the target for the overnight rate. A press release will provide a brief explanation of the decision. The Bank will also publish its quarterly Monetary Policy Report (MPR) at the same time as the interest rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories
April 23, 2009 Bank of Canada releases Monetary Policy Report Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario In the Report, the Bank noted that in an environment of continued high uncertainty, the global recession has intensified and become more synchronous since the Bank's January Monetary Policy Report Update, with weaker-than-expected activity in all major economies. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
October 3, 2007 Liquidity, Liquidity, Liquidity Remarks David Longworth Investment Industry Association of Canada Toronto, Ontario Sound financial investment is important to individuals, to firms, and to society as a whole. By definition, investment is forward looking, and thus our future financial well-being is shaped by the soundness of the investment decisions we make today. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
May 17, 1996 The Transmission of Monetary Policy Gordon Thiessen, Bruce Montador, Kevin Clinton, Kevin Fettig, Donna Howard, Charles Freedman, Pierre Duguay, Stephen S. Poloz, Tim Noël Text of major 1995 lecture by Bank Governor Gordon Thiessen, plus articles from Bank of Canada Review and other sources Content Type(s): Publications, Books and monographs JEL Code(s): E, E5
October 23, 2024 Bank of Canada interest rate announcement and release of the Monetary Policy Report On Wednesday, October 23, 2024, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the target for the overnight rate. A press release will provide a brief explanation of the decision. The Bank will also publish its quarterly Monetary Policy Report (MPR) at the same time as the rate decision. Content Type(s): Press, Media advisories