Supply Drivers of US Inflation Since the COVID-19 Pandemic Staff working paper 2023-19 Serdar Kabaca, Kerem Tuzcuoglu This paper examines the contribution of several supply factors to US headline inflation since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. We identify six supply shocks using a structural VAR model: labor supply, labor productivity, global supply chain, oil price, price mark-up and wage mark-up shocks. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): C, C3, C32, E, E3, E31, E32 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures
November 19, 2002 Purchasing-Power Parity: Definition, Measurement, and Interpretation Bank of Canada Review - Autumn 2002 Robert Lafrance, Lawrence L. Schembri This article examines the concept of purchasing-power parity (PPP) and its implications for the equilibrium value of the Canadian exchange rate. PPP has two main applications, as a theory of exchange rate determination and as a means to compare living standards across countries. Concerning exchange rate determination, PPP is mainly useful as a reminder that monetary policy has no long-run impact on the real exchange rate, since the exchange rate can deviate persistently from its PPP value in response to real shocks. To compare living standards across countries, PPP exchange rates constructed by comparing the prices of national consumption baskets are used to translate per capita national incomes into a common currency. These rates are useful because they offset differences in national price levels to obtain comparable measures of purchasing power, but they are not an accurate measure of the equilibrium value of the exchange rate. The authors conclude that the current deviation of the Canadian exchange rate from the PPP rate does not imply that the exchange rate is undervalued, but that this deviation reflects the impact of persistent real factors, in particular, lower commodity prices. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
May 25, 2020 Dealing with extreme uncertainty Speech summary Stephen S. Poloz University of Alberta’s Eric J. Hanson Memorial Lecture Edmonton, Alberta In a lecture capping off his time as Governor, Stephen S. Poloz discusses how the Bank uses a risk management approach to deal with uncertainty about risks such as the ones associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Speech summaries Subject(s): Financial system, Financial stability, Monetary policy, Economy/Economic growth, Inflation, Inflation targeting framework
November 13, 2014 Money in a Digital World Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins Wilfrid Laurier University Waterloo, Ontario Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins discusses the benefits and risks of e-money - including cryptocurrencies - and the Bank of Canada’s role. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
August 28, 2006 Productivity, Terms of Trade, and Economic Adjustment Remarks Pierre Duguay Canadian Association for Business Economics Kingston, Ontario The Bank of Canada is keenly interested in productivity - for a number of reasons. Productivity gains are a key determinant of growth in potential output and, hence, of Canada's sustainable pace of non-inflationary economic expansion. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks
July 29, 2008 Bank of Canada announces the appointment of Mark E. Caplan as Senior Representative and Director of its Toronto Office (Financial Markets) Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada is pleased to announce the appointment of Mark E. Caplan as Senior Representative and Director, Toronto Office (Financial Markets), effective September 2008. Mr. Caplan will replace Ross MacKinnon, who is retiring. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
February 17, 2011 Competition in the Canadian Mortgage Market Bank of Canada Review - Winter 2010-2011 Jason Allen This article begins with a brief examination of the Canadian mortgage market, focusing on the market’s evolution following changes to the Bank Act in 1992, which allowed chartered banks to enter the trust business, and the subsequent entrance of virtual banks and mortgage brokers. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
November 5, 2018 Making sense of financial markets worth the effort, Governor Poloz says Media Relations London, United Kingdom It can be a challenge for central banks to reconcile their views of the economy with signals from financial markets, but the effort is worthwhile, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen S. Poloz says in a speech today. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
November 27, 2012 The Great Frustration: Hesitant Steps Toward Global Growth and Rebalancing Remarks John Murray New York Association for Business Economics New York, New York Deputy Governor John Murray discusses global growth and rebalancing. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks