June 1, 1994 Summer 1994 Mark Kruger, Robert Lafrance Canada's net external indebtedness increased from $110 billion in 1980 to $313 billion in 1993, reflecting the accumulation of current account deficits over many years. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review articles
The Central Bank Strikes Back! Credibility of Monetary Policy under Fiscal Influence Staff working paper 2022-11 Antoine Camous, Dmitry Matveev Central banks in many advanced economies enjoy a high degree of independence, which protects monetary policy decisions from political influence. But how should independent central banks react if pressured by fiscal policy-makers? We examine whether a central bank should design a monetary policy framework that prescribes acting conditionally on how fiscal policy behaves. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E0, E02, E5, E52, E58, E6, E61, E62 Research Theme(s): Financial system, Financial stability and systemic risk, Monetary policy, Inflation dynamics and pressures, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Monetary policy tools and implementation
Evaluating Real GDP Growth Forecasts in the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report Staff analytical note 2017-21 André Binette, Dmitri Tchebotarev This paper examines the quality of projections of real GDP growth taken from the Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report (MPR) since they were first published in 1997. Over the last decade, it has become common practice among the central banking community to discuss forecast performance publicly. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes JEL Code(s): C, C5, C52, E, E3, E32, E37, E5, E52 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Econometric, statistical and computational methods, Economic models, Monetary policy, Real economy and forecasting
Labor Mobility in a Monetary Union Staff working paper 2019-15 Daniela Hauser, Martin Seneca The optimal currency literature has stressed the importance of labor mobility as a precondition for the success of monetary unions. But only a few studies formally link labor mobility to macroeconomic adjustment and policy. In this paper, we study macroeconomic dynamics and optimal monetary policy in an economy with cyclical labor flows across two distinct regions that share trade links and a common monetary framework. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers JEL Code(s): E, E3, E32, E5, E52, F, F4 Research Theme(s): Models and tools, Economic models, Monetary policy, Monetary policy framework and transmission, Structural challenges, Demographics and labour supply
December 7, 2010 Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1 per cent Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent. Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
April 6, 2020 Business Outlook Survey—Spring 2020 Results from the spring Business Outlook Survey suggest that business sentiment had softened in most regions even before concerns around COVID‑19 intensified in Canada. Confidence deteriorated the most among firms in energy-producing regions. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
January 27, 2005 Release of the Monetary Policy Report Update Opening statement David Dodge The outlook for the Canadian economy continues to be shaped by global developments, including the realignment of world currencies. The near-term outlook for the global economy is a touch weaker than projected in the October Report, but more solidly based because of somewhat lower oil prices and greater confidence in the momentum of the U.S. economy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements
October 16, 2017 Business Outlook Survey - Autumn 2017 Results from the autumn Business Outlook Survey point to continued positive business sentiment across the country, with business activity becoming entrenched. Firms’ prospects remain healthy, although several survey indicators have moderated from the strong summer results. Content Type(s): Publications, Business Outlook Survey
February 10, 2015 Economy Has Room to Grow, Says Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins Media Relations Ottawa, Ontario The Canadian economy still has room to grow, and the sharp drop in oil prices is a setback, Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins said in Ottawa today, adding that monetary policy will support the needed adjustments. As the Bank assesses the underlying inflation pressures in the Canadian economy, it is critical that […] Content Type(s): Press, Press releases
June 15, 2008 Bank of Canada Review - Summer 2008 Cover page Chinese Coin Charms The charms on the cover are part of the National Currency Collection of the Bank of Canada. Photography by Gord Carter. Content Type(s): Publications, Bank of Canada Review