Emilio Colombi

Senior Economist


Staff research

The Distributional Consequences of Commodity Booms

Staff working paper 2026-38 Emilio Colombi
Positive commodity price shocks reduce labor income inequality in commodity-exporting economies by compressing the skill premium, as unskilled-labor-intensive sectors such as construction expand faster than skill-intensive services. A multisector small-open-economy model shows how saving or spending commodity windfalls can reinforce or moderate this decline in inequality.

Labor Markets, Financial Crises, and Inflation: Jobless and Wageless Recoveries*

We document the macroeconomic patterns that characterize labor market recovery from financial crises. Using a sample of postwar recession episodes from around the world, we show that financial crises are typically followed by jobless recoveries, with a sluggish recovery in employment relative to output.

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