Monetary Policy under Model and Data-Parameter Uncertainty Staff Working Paper 2005-6 Gino Cateau Policy-makers in the United States over the past 15 to 20 years seem to have been cautious in setting policy: empirical estimates of monetary policy rules such as Taylor's (1993) rule are much less aggressive than those derived from optimizing models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Monetary policy and uncertainty JEL Code(s): D, D8, D81, E, E5, E58
Uninsurable Investment Risks Staff Working Paper 2004-29 Césaire Meh, Vincenzo Quadrini The authors study a general-equilibrium economy in which agents have the ability to invest in a risky technology. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial institutions, Financial markets JEL Code(s): D, D3, D31, E, E2, E21, G, G0
Financial Market Imperfection, Overinvestment, and Speculative Precaution Staff Working Paper 2004-27 Christian Calmès The author uses panel data to assess the sensitivity of investment to cash flow in non-financial firms, taking into account the role their financial health plays in investment decisions. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles JEL Code(s): D, D9, D92, E, E2, E22, E4, E44, G, G3, G33
Translog ou Cobb-Douglas? Le rôle des durées d'utilisation des facteurs Staff Working Paper 2004-19 Eric Heyer, Florian Pelgrin, Arnaud Sylvain Using French data on industrial firms over the period 1989-2001, the authors estimate a "flexible" Translog production function that accounts for the volumes and durations of factor utilization. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, J, J2, J23
Durées d'utilisation des facteurs et fonction de production : une estimation par la méthode des moments généralisés en système Staff Working Paper 2004-12 Eric Heyer, Florian Pelgrin, Arnaud Sylvain Although a number of studies have demonstrated the importance of the degree of factor utilization in economic analysis, the impact of the durations of utilization in a production function remains largely unknown, particularly in terms of the duration of equipment utilization. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models JEL Code(s): C, C3, C33, D, D2, D24, J, J2, J23
Public Venture Capital and Entrepreneurship Staff Working Paper 2004-10 Oana Secrieru, Marianne Vigneault Entrepreneurship is a key factor in promoting growth in output and employment. Consequently, to encourage new start-ups, most governments in developed countries have public venture capital programs. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Financial markets, Fiscal policy, Labour markets JEL Code(s): D, D2, G, G2, G24, G28, J, J2, J24, M, M1, M13
The Economic Theory of Retail Pricing: A Survey Staff Working Paper 2004-8 Oana Secrieru The types of contracts that arise in a typical vertical manufacturer–retailer relationship are more sophisticated than usually assumed in standard macroeconomic models. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Market structure and pricing JEL Code(s): D, D4, D40, L, L2, L22, L4, L42
Are Distorted Beliefs Too Good to be True? Staff Working Paper 2003-4 Miroslav Misina In a recent attempt to account for the equity-premium puzzle within a representative-agent model, Cecchetti, Lam, and Mark (2000) relax the assumption of rational expectations and in its place use the assumption of distorted beliefs. The author shows that the explanatory power of the distorted beliefs model is due to an inconsistency in the model and that an attempt to remove this inconsistency removes the model's explanatory power. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Financial markets JEL Code(s): D, D8, D84, G, G1, G12
The Usefulness of Consumer Confidence Indexes in the United States Staff Working Paper 2002-22 Brigitte Desroches, Marc-André Gosselin This paper assesses the usefulness of consumer confidence indexes in forecasting aggregate consumer spending in the United States. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Economic models, International topics JEL Code(s): D, D1, D12, E, E2, E21, E27
Entrepreneurial Risk, Credit Constraints, and the Corporate Income Tax: A Quantitative Exploration Staff Working Paper 2002-21 Césaire Meh This paper describes the positive effect that corporate income tax has on capital formation in the presence of liquidity constraints and uninsurable risk. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Economic models, Fiscal policy JEL Code(s): D, D3, D31, E, E6, E62, H, H2, H20, H23