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2333
result(s)
An Optimized Monetary Policy Rule for ToTEM
Staff Working Paper 2006-41
Jean-Philippe Cayen,
Amy Corbett,
Patrick Perrier
The authors propose a monetary policy rule for the Terms-of-Trade Economic Model (ToTEM), the Bank of Canada's new projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52
Education and Self-Employment: Changes in Earnings and Wealth Inequality
Staff Working Paper 2006-40
Yaz Terajima
The author quantitatively studies the interaction between education and occupation choices and its implication for the relationship between the changes in earnings inequality and the changes in wealth inequality in the United States over the 1983–2001 period.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Labour markets
JEL Code(s):
D,
D3,
D31,
I,
I2,
I21,
J,
J2,
J23
October 22, 2006
ToTEM: The Bank of Canada's New Projection and Policy-Analysis Model
The Terms-of-Trade Economic Model, or ToTEM, replaced the Quarterly Projection Model (QPM) in December 2005 as the Bank's principal projection and policy-analysis model for the Canadian economy. Benefiting from advances in economic modelling and computer power, ToTEM builds on the strengths of QPM, allowing for optimizing behaviour on the part of firms and households, both in and out of steady state, in a multi-product environment. The authors explain the motivation behind the development of ToTEM, provide an overview of the model and its calibration, and present several simulations to illustrate its key properties, concluding with some indications of how the model is expected to evolve going forward.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
October 20, 2006
MUSE: The Bank of Canada's New Projection Model of the U.S. Economy
Staff projections provided for the Bank of Canada's monetary policy decision process take into account the integration of Canada's very open economy within the global economy, as well as its close real and financial linkages with the United States. To provide inputs for this projection, the Bank has developed several models, including MUSE, NEUQ (the New European Quarterly Model), and BoC-GEM (Bank of Canada Global Economy Model), to analyze and forecast economic developments in the rest of the world. The authors focus on MUSE, the model currently used to describe interaction among the principal U.S. economic variables, including gross domestic product, inflation, interest rates, and the exchange rate. Brief descriptions are also provided of NEUQ and BoC-GEM.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
International topics
October 8, 2006
Modelling Financial Channels for Monetary Policy Analysis
The Bank of Canada considers a wide range of information and analysis before making a monetary policy decision and uses carefully articulated models to produce economic projections and to examine alternative scenarios. This article describes an ongoing research agenda at the Bank to develop models in which financial variables play an active role in the transmission of monetary policy actions to economic activity. Such models can help to analyze information from the financial side of the economy and to provide an overall view of the implications of financial developments for the current economic outlook. The authors also explain how this research can help address other issues relevant to the objectives of monetary policy, including how asset-price movements should be taken into account in the monetary policy framework.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Economic models,
Monetary policy transmission
Short-Run and Long-Run Causality between Monetary Policy Variables and Stock Prices
Staff Working Paper 2006-39
Jean-Marie Dufour,
David Tessier
The authors examine simultaneously the causal links connecting monetary policy variables, real activity, and stock returns.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
C15,
C3,
C32,
C5,
C51,
C53,
E,
E5,
E52
Conditioning Information and Variance Bounds on Pricing Kernels with Higher-Order Moments: Theory and Evidence
Staff Working Paper 2006-38
Fousseni Chabi-Yo
The author develops a strategy for utilizing higher moments and conditioning information efficiently, and hence improves on the variance bounds computed by Hansen and Jagannathan (1991, the HJ bound) and Gallant, Hansen, and Tauchen (1990, the GHT bound).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
C61,
G,
G1,
G12,
G13
October 3, 2006
A New Effective Exchange Rate Index for the Canadian Dollar
An effective exchange rate is a measure of the value of a country's currency vis-à-vis the currencies of its most important trading partners. The Bank of Canada has created a new Canadian-dollar effective exchange rate index (CERI) to replace the C-6 index that it currently uses. The CERI uses multilateral trade weights published by the International Monetary Fund and includes the six currencies of countries or economic zones with the largest share of Canada's international trade. As such, it better reflects the recent changes in Canada's trade profile, including the rise in the importance of China and Mexico and the relative decline in importance of Europe and Japan in Canada's international trade. The author describes the methodology and construction of the new index and reviews the advantages it offers over the C-6, particularly the use of multilateral trade weights, the inclusion of trade in services, and the use of more recent trade data.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Financial markets,
Monetary and financial indicators
Endogenous Borrowing Constraints and Consumption Volatility in a Small Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2006-37
Carlos De Resende
Consumption volatility relative to output volatility is consistently higher in emerging economies than in developed economies.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F32,
F34,
F4,
F41