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This issue features four articles that present research and analysis by Bank staff. The first focuses on financial transaction taxes; the second on the role of central counterparties in over-the-counter markets; and the third on monetary policy and the risk-taking channel, as seen in the lending behaviour of banks. The fourth article presents research findings on the use of retail payment instruments and discusses the implications of innovations in retail payments on the use of cash over the long term.

The Bank projects that the economy will grow by 2.2 per cent in 2012, 2.3 per cent in 2013 and 2.4 per cent in 2014. The economy is expected to return to full capacity by the end of 2013.

The results of the autumn survey suggest that, in an environment of slow global economic growth and uncertainty about demand, firms have tem¬pered their expectations for business activity.

The survey results point to a continued easing in overall business-lending conditions during the third quarter of 2012.