Canada’s economy has been weak but is showing signs of improvement. Growth is expected to pick up, and inflation is projected to ease to around 2%. Uncertainty remains elevated.
The Canadian economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace as it continues to adjust to US tariffs. Inflation has moved up due to higher oil prices linked to the war in the Middle East. It is projected to then ease back to the 2% target in 2027.
The Canadian economy continues to adjust to US tariffs and the new global trade landscape. This adjustment will take time and growth is expected to be modest. Inflation is projected to remain near the 2% target.
The Bank of Canada today reduced its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%.