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9016 Results

Forecasting oil prices: What works best and when

Sparks at Bank article Reinhard Ellwanger
Oil price forecasts help central banks assess risks to inflation and economic activity. Forecasters often rely on the latest price of oil, on futures markets or on economic models. The best approach depends on how far ahead forecasters are looking and whether they need only a forecast or also an explanation of what’s behind it.

BoC–BoE Sovereign Default Database: What’s new in 2026?

Staff analytical paper 2026-48 David Beers, Obiageri Ndukwe, Joe Berry
The BoC–BoE database of sovereign debt defaults, published and updated annually by the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, provides comprehensive estimates of stocks of government obligations in default.
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