November 20, 2018 Choosing the Best Monetary Policy Framework for Canada Remarks Carolyn A. Wilkins McGill University Max Bell School of Public Policy Montréal, Quebec Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses public policy issues around monetary policy frameworks and how those issues have become more complex in the post-global financial crisis world. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Central bank research, Fiscal policy, Inflation and prices, Inflation targets, Interest rates, Monetary policy framework
October 31, 2018 Opening Statement before the Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz Standing Senate Committee on Banking, Trade and Commerce Ottawa, Ontario Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are pleased to be with you today to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report. At the time of our last appearance in April, our message was about the considerable economic progress that we had seen. We explained that after a lacklustre start […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
October 30, 2018 Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Opening statement Stephen S. Poloz House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance Ottawa, Ontario Good afternoon, Mr. Chairman and committee members. Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins and I are pleased to be with you today to discuss the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report. At the time of our last appearance in April, our message was about the considerable economic progress that we had seen. We explained that after a lacklustre start […] Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Opening statements Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Monetary policy, Monetary policy transmission, Recent economic and financial developments
Introducing a Systematic Measure of Idiosyncratic Prices Staff Analytical Note 2018-33 Madigan Dockrill, Laurence Savoie-Chabot There is a risk that Bank of Canada staff may inadvertently be biased when analyzing inflation: when inflation surprises on the downside, staff might emphasize negative idiosyncratic factors. When inflation surprises on the upside, staff might emphasize the positive idiosyncratic factors. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff analytical notes Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Recent economic and financial developments JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31
September 27, 2018 Technological Disruption and Opportunity Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Atlantic Provinces Economics Council and Greater Moncton Chamber of Commerce Moncton, New Brunswick Governor Poloz talks about how new digital technologies create opportunities in the economy and affect how the Bank conducts monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Potential output, Productivity
Price Selection Staff Working Paper 2018-44 Carlos Carvalho, Oleksiy Kryvtsov We propose a simple, model-free way to measure selection in price setting and its contribution to inflation dynamics. The proposed measure of price selection is based on the observed comovement between inflation and the average level from which adjusting prices depart. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Business fluctuations and cycles, Inflation and prices, Monetary policy transmission JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E5, E51
August 25, 2018 The Fourth Industrial Revolution and Central Banking Remarks Stephen S. Poloz Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Jackson Hole, Wyoming Governor Poloz talks about the economic benefits expected from disruptive digital technologies and the implications for monetary policy. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Domestic demand and components, Inflation and prices, Market structure and pricing, Monetary policy, Productivity
Sluggish Forecasts Staff Working Paper 2018-39 Monica Jain Given the influence that agents’ expectations have on key macroeconomic variables, it is surprising that very few papers have tried to extrapolate agents’ “true” expectations directly from the data. This paper presents one such approach, starting with the hypothesis that there is sluggishness in inflation and real GDP growth forecasts. Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): E, E3, E31, E37
On the Evolution of the United Kingdom Price Distributions Staff Working Paper 2018-25 Ba M. Chu, Kim Huynh, David T. Jacho-Chávez, Oleksiy Kryvtsov We propose a functional principal components method that accounts for stratified random sample weighting and time dependence in the observations to understand the evolution of distributions of monthly micro-level consumer prices for the United Kingdom (UK). Content Type(s): Staff research, Staff working papers Research Topic(s): Econometric and statistical methods, Inflation and prices JEL Code(s): C, C1, C14, C8, C83, E, E3, E31, E37
May 31, 2018 A Progress Report on the Economy Remarks Sylvain Leduc Association des économistes québécois and CFA Québec Québec, Québec Deputy Governor Sylvain Leduc discusses the issues that led Governing Council to hold the policy interest rate at 1.25 per cent in their May 30 decision. Content Type(s): Press, Speeches and appearances, Remarks Research Topic(s): Inflation and prices, Interest rates, Labour markets, Monetary policy, Monetary policy and uncertainty, Recent economic and financial developments