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2333
result(s)
June 16, 2006
Global Imbalances—Just How Dangerous?
The combination of rising current account surpluses in Asia and a growing current account deficit in the United States has raised concerns that the resulting imbalances pose a threat to the world economy, especially if they are reversed in a disorderly manner. Some experts believe that normal market forces will resolve these imbalances over time; others argue that policy-makers should facilitate the adjustment with policies that curb domestic demand in deficit countries and stimulate it in surplus countries. Little and Lafrance provide a guide to the major issues and controversies involved in the debate.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Balance of payments and components,
Exchange rates,
International topics
June 11, 2006
Evaluating Measures of Core Inflation
Since the Bank of Canada adopted inflation targeting in 1991, it has focused on a measure of core inflation as a shorter-term guide for monetary policy. When the targets were renewed in 2001, the Bank adopted CPIX as its measure of core inflation because of the advantages it offered. Leflèche and Armour review the experience with CPIX and whether the criteria used to select it in 2001 still favour the measure today. They describe the various measures of core inflation monitored by the Bank and evaluate them on the basis of the volatility of the components, the volatility of the core measures themselves, absence of bias relative to total CPI, predictive power, and certain practical criteria, including timeliness and credibility. They conclude that CPIX still satisfies all the empirical and practical criteria.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework
Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly Model, A Small Model of the Euro Area and U.K. Economies
Staff Working Paper 2006-22
Anna Piretti,
Charles St-Arnaud
The authors develop a projection model of the euro area and the United Kingdom. The model consists of two country blocks, endogenous to each other via the foreign demand channel.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Economic models
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C53,
E,
E1,
E17,
E3,
E37
June 2, 2006
Another Look at the Inflation-Target Horizon
The conduct of monetary policy within an inflation-targeting framework requires the establishment of an inflation-target horizon, which is the average time it takes inflation to return to the target. Policy-makers have an interest in communicating this horizon, since it is likely to help anchor inflation expectations. This article focuses on the determination of the appropriate policy horizon by reporting on two recent Bank of Canada studies. The evidence suggests that the current target horizon of six to eight quarters remains appropriate. It is important to note that the duration of the optimal inflation-target horizon varies widely, depending on the combination of shocks to the economy. In rare cases when the financial accelerator is triggered by a persistent shock, such as an asset-price bubble, it may be appropriate to take a longer view of the inflation-target horizon.
Content Type(s):
Publications,
Bank of Canada Review articles
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy framework,
Monetary policy transmission
The International Monetary Fund's Balance-Sheet and Credit Risk
Staff Working Paper 2006-21
Ryan Felushko,
Eric Santor
The authors examine the characteristics of International Monetary Fund (IMF) lending from the 1960s to 2005.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3
Examining the Trade-Off between Settlement Delay and Intraday Liquidity in Canada's LVTS: A Simulation Approach
Staff Working Paper 2006-20
Neville Arjani
The author explores a fundamental trade-off that occurs between settlement delay and intraday liquidity in the daily operation of large-value payment systems (LVPS), with specific application to Canada's Large Value Transfer System (LVTS).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E47,
G,
G2,
G21
Institutional Quality, Trade, and the Changing Distribution of World Income
Staff Working Paper 2006-19
Brigitte Desroches,
Michael Francis
Conventional wisdom holds that institutional changes and trade liberalization are two main sources of growth in per capita income around the world.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Development economics,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F1,
F11,
F15,
O,
O1,
O11,
P,
P4,
P48
Working Time over the 20th Century
Staff Working Paper 2006-18
Alexander Ueberfeldt
From 1870 to 2000, the workweek length of employed persons decreased by 41 per cent in industrialized countries.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Labour markets,
Productivity
JEL Code(s):
E,
E1,
E13,
E2,
E24,
O,
O1,
O11