Assessing tariff pass-through to consumer prices in Canada: Lessons from 2018 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=246508 Plastic wrap Synthetic control group Facial tissues Synthetic control group Pickles Synthetic control group Impact at end of tariff period (2019Q2) Long-run impact (2019Q4) Peak impact Range low Range high Midpoint Range low Range high Midpoint Range low Range high Midpoint Range low Range high Midpoint Range of estimates, positive impacts only (low) Range of estimates, positive impacts only (high) Midpoint, positive impacts only Range of estimates, unconditional (low) Range of estimates, unconditional (high) 0.89450.89130.82580.81530.83200.8289 0.89630.89210.82710.81840.83950.8296 0.89990.89350.83330.82280.84150.8302 0.90270.88860.82560.82710.82220.8225 0.91560.89080.81960.82380.81390.8114 0.89710.88900.80650.82810.82160.8203 0.87470.88610.81840.83240.82300.8204 0.89710.88890.81490.83660.82850.8218 0.88810.88740.80870.83440.81080.8217 0.88150.88800.80760.83830.83960.8301 0.88850.88730.82650.84000.84180.8314 0.88650.88070.83370.84520.86220.8328 0.89980.89280.84700.84310.86160.8412 0.88560.89290.84870.85520.82760.8407 0.90120.90330.83700.85900.84630.8411 0.89380.90790.84020.86440.85730.8528 0.90220.90910.88000.86800.84700.8453 0.90870.90580.88150.87100.84730.8505 0.90910.92000.88920.86740.86040.8608 0.92170.92030.89090.88790.87080.8625 0.92680.92380.92200.89480.85200.8635 0.92330.92210.90470.89690.87600.8633 0.92870.92930.90280.89930.85190.8704 0.90850.93230.90090.90130.82780.8661 0.95010.93680.91040.90930.84430.8641 0.94280.94170.90770.90640.85820.8646 0.93970.94830.90450.91160.84170.8542 0.93860.95290.91030.91240.85040.8567 0.94760.95200.90860.92090.85930.8693 0.94610.96030.92000.91760.85840.8637 0.96010.96090.90340.92090.85050.8596 0.96320.96820.92330.91570.84870.8594 0.96220.96540.93450.92110.86430.8636 0.97730.97020.93050.92240.85000.8602 0.97330.97290.92910.92180.85350.8568 0.97280.97310.92950.92810.84520.8594 0.97030.97020.91380.92770.84520.8560 0.97540.97140.92550.93120.83840.8541 0.96830.96720.92920.93550.85090.8487 0.98730.96770.93190.93810.84500.8409 0.97910.97410.92390.93890.85460.8503 0.97330.97060.93240.93880.85210.8533 0.98800.97400.91990.93900.85190.8559 0.97240.97130.94560.93930.83680.8581 0.98560.97340.92560.93850.85530.8581 0.98940.98140.93420.93940.83920.8643 0.98140.97320.93430.93900.84650.8595 0.98780.98370.93830.94050.86460.8676 0.98500.98550.93910.94120.85390.8618 0.98610.99020.93880.94130.85720.8700 0.99050.98850.92690.94240.86890.8744 0.97500.98780.92700.93950.86950.8750 0.98050.99100.93680.94690.87000.8718 1.00280.99590.92470.95130.87290.8711 0.98780.99770.94160.94910.85230.8787 1.01841.00480.93650.95980.87170.8868 1.00341.01000.93260.96240.87050.8831 1.00141.01370.94580.96500.88150.8836 1.00771.01400.95340.96380.90720.8741 1.01361.01830.95170.96490.89790.8823 1.02091.02310.95810.97050.89810.8824 1.03761.03000.95690.96700.89830.8868 1.03721.02410.97380.97180.89770.8957 1.03161.01920.97140.97510.89640.8952 1.00581.02430.96460.97370.89430.9042 1.03781.02210.95580.97230.89960.9099 1.02521.02580.96870.97660.89110.9115 1.02661.01900.96860.98150.93620.9151 1.03481.02490.97230.97620.94910.9210 1.02771.02570.97520.97670.96920.9448 1.03911.02470.96550.98130.96060.9575 1.03841.02660.97180.98190.96690.9672 1.02961.02260.97180.98140.97220.9755 1.02741.02140.98400.98810.96050.9749 1.02941.02250.98750.98470.97840.9888 1.04181.02250.95780.98570.99540.9865 1.03921.02440.98970.98650.98880.9976 1.03321.02490.99110.98720.99570.9974 1.02611.02700.96750.98330.99100.9963 1.02051.02531.00820.98100.99791.0047 0.99581.01220.98250.98170.97850.9827 1.00991.01630.98230.98450.99030.9980 1.00451.01640.97610.98630.96630.9966 1.00431.00810.98030.98540.97570.9916 1.01131.00670.97990.98040.97940.9905 1.00371.00290.97490.98331.01710.9899 1.00291.00560.96350.98920.97930.9842 0.96931.00330.99940.99240.97860.9898 1.00971.00630.96910.99431.00740.9846 1.00531.00460.98360.99421.00400.9876 1.00621.00470.98790.99841.00700.9944 1.00101.00300.98010.99811.00410.9962 1.01810.99790.99260.99691.01540.9974 1.01320.99980.97560.99641.00960.9992 1.00671.00281.00510.99750.99961.0041 1.00720.99940.99590.99460.99691.0009 0.96421.00301.00171.00080.99651.0055 0.99221.00010.99701.00301.01651.0055 0.99450.99841.01400.99790.99901.0011 1.00251.00401.01271.01181.00180.9984 1.00440.99361.02631.00210.98101.0020 0.99080.99361.01221.00280.97350.9953 1.01660.98641.02581.01100.98441.00029.6017.5813.595.4215.8810.659.4212.8611.1513.8328.9121.3713.3523.0718.219.6017.58 1.01290.99011.02641.00580.98460.9973 0.99010.99771.02081.02740.97911.0026 0.98950.99461.02341.03110.97850.992710.0821.1015.590.3820.9110.658.8411.5710.2121.1937.4229.3114.0327.7020.8610.0821.10 1.05460.99971.02391.02491.02020.9906 1.06681.00551.06171.03131.01131.0258 1.04981.01091.02331.03781.02601.040525.9247.9936.9535.2470.9553.1011.9717.7814.8734.3652.1443.2536.0763.0049.5325.9247.99 1.05651.02471.07031.02151.01021.0277 1.02301.01751.07061.01751.02781.0336 1.04851.02511.07481.03481.01331.022738.5056.3747.4326.7068.2147.4542.6147.8945.2533.3655.4444.4150.5373.9962.2638.5056.37 1.04161.01941.08171.03200.98971.0390 1.06431.02041.10901.04281.02441.0459 1.05261.02401.10141.05201.05551.039142.8966.7254.8023.4295.2859.3543.2446.7144.9844.1971.7057.9556.3091.5073.9042.8966.72 1.06901.02531.12191.05731.00121.0480 1.06691.03321.14021.06130.99381.0478 1.05201.03071.16111.05211.00461.067339.0780.4159.7428.02114.5571.2947.3259.1253.2242.4679.9361.2051.29110.2880.7839.0780.41 1.05411.03401.18731.05431.03631.0410 1.03671.01821.11351.04621.00111.0495 0.00.00.5 0.00.00.6 0.00.00.8 0.00.01.0 0.00.01.5 0.00.01.9 1.70.04.2 3.80.05.6 1.30.62.3 3.30.93.3 0.01.11.1 0.01.42.8 3.21.63.2 2.91.93.6 1.62.52.5 1.33.33.3 1.63.53.5 4.13.64.1 0.34.34.3 1.14.44.4 7.84.97.8 3.96.56.5 4.99.39.3 5.211.011.0 5.311.411.4 9.311.511.5 4.117.217.2