<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<data>
<terms url="https://www.bankofcanada.ca/terms/"></terms>
<groupDetail>
    <label>Chart 20: Oil prices will create upward cost pressures into 2027</label>
    <description><![CDATA[Contributions to year-over-year CPI inflation, deviation from target, quarterly data

Note: Costs includes, for example, commodity prices and shipping costs. Other includes, for example, base-year effects from the previous GST/HST holiday, movements in gasoline refinery margins and inflation not attributed to the identified components. Numbers may not sum to their respective totals due to rounding.

Sources: Statistics Canada and Bank of Canada calculations, estimates and projections]]></description>
    <link>https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=252550</link>
</groupDetail>
<seriesDetail>
<series id="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">
<label>Canadian counter-tariffs</label>
<description>Canadian counter-tariffs</description>
<dimension key="d" name="Date"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">
<label>Costs</label>
<description>Costs</description>
<dimension key="d" name="Date"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">
<label>Removal of consumer carbon tax and excise fuel tax</label>
<description>Removal of consumer carbon tax and excise fuel tax</description>
<dimension key="d" name="Date"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">
<label>Output gap</label>
<description>Output gap</description>
<dimension key="d" name="Date"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">
<label>Other</label>
<description>Other</description>
<dimension key="d" name="Date"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">
<label>Total CPI inflation</label>
<description>Total CPI inflation</description>
<dimension key="d" name="Date"/>
</series>
</seriesDetail>
<observations>
<o d="2024-10-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.24</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">0.04</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.38</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">-0.10</v></o>
<o d="2025-01-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.75</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">0.01</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.46</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.30</v></o>
<o d="2025-04-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.13</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.17</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">-0.61</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.04</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.05</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">-0.30</v></o>
<o d="2025-07-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.27</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.29</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">-0.61</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.08</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.13</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
<o d="2025-10-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.27</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.17</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">-0.61</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.13</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.49</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.20</v></o>
<o d="2026-01-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.28</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.24</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">-0.61</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.17</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.46</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.20</v></o>
<o d="2026-04-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.14</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.86</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">-0.24</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.19</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.03</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.60</v></o>
<o d="2026-07-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">-0.03</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.87</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">-0.24</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.20</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.20</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.20</v></o>
<o d="2026-10-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">-0.02</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.69</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.18</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.29</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.20</v></o>
<o d="2027-01-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">-0.04</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.29</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.14</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.10</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
<o d="2027-04-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">-0.03</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">-0.14</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.24</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.12</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.05</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">-0.10</v></o>
<o d="2027-07-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.18</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.24</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.10</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.02</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.30</v></o>
<o d="2027-10-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.11</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.09</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.02</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
<o d="2028-01-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.09</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.08</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.01</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
<o d="2028-04-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.08</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.08</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">-0.01</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
<o d="2028-07-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.07</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.07</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
<o d="2028-10-01"><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S2">0.06</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S3">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S4">-0.06</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S5">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2026M04_CPI_DEVIATION_S6">0.00</v></o>
</observations>
</data>