The US economy has a recession in Scenario 2 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=245137 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 January Report 1.631.631.63 2.992.992.99 3.063.073.07 2.652.442.44 2.610.630.62 2.821.63-0.31 -0.502.043.20 -1.492.221.97 2.07-0.122.46 2.241.762.36 2.471.802.29 2.381.702.37 2.493.12 2.822.27 2.602.14 2.092.46