<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<data>
<terms url="https://www.bankofcanada.ca/terms/"></terms>
<groupDetail>
    <label>A global trade conflict reduces Canadian GDP growth</label>
    <description><![CDATA[Impact on real GDP growth relative to a no tariff scenario, annual average growth

Bank of Canada calculations, estimates and projections]]></description>
    <link>https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=243335</link>
</groupDetail>
<seriesDetail>
<series id="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S1">
<label>Benchmark calibration</label>
<description></description>
<dimension key="k" name="Category"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S2">
<label>Larger decline in US demand for Canadian exports</label>
<description></description>
<dimension key="k" name="Category"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S3">
<label>Lower tariff pass-through to consumer prices</label>
<description></description>
<dimension key="k" name="Category"/>
</series>
<series id="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S4">
<label>Faster tariff pass-through to consumer prices</label>
<description></description>
<dimension key="k" name="Category"/>
</series>
</seriesDetail>
<observations>
<o k="Year 1"><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S1">-2.40</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S2">-3.00</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S3">-2.20</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S4">-2.40</v></o>
<o k="Year 2"><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S1">-1.50</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S2">-1.10</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S3">-1.20</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S4">-1.40</v></o>
<o k="Year 3"><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S1">0.00</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S2">-0.10</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S3">0.10</v><v s="MPR_2025M01_TRADE_OUTPUT_S4">0.30</v></o>
</observations>
</data>