Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—First Quarter of 2025 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=245377 Probability of losing a job Probability of voluntarily leaving a job Probability of finding a job Labour market index 2025Q1 Perceiving their financial situation is currently deteriorating Expecting their financial situation to deteriorate in the next 12 months Perceiving access to credit is currently harder Expecting access to credit to be harder in the next 12 months Likelihood of missing a debt payment (median probability) Financial health index Reducing spending in response to interest rate expectations Reducing spending in response to inflation expectations 2024Q4 2025Q1 Consumers expecting no change or stronger job security due to trade tensions Consumers expecting weaker job security due to trade tensions Spending on goods made in Canada Spending on goods from the United States 2025Q1 1-year-ahead inflation expectations Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? 2-year-ahead inflation expectations Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? 5-year-ahead inflation expectations Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? Perceptions about current inflation Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? 2025Q1 2.913.032.410.37-0.520.08-0.070.160.150.290.240.211.0438.3446.15 2.082.912.040.45-0.56-0.10-0.210.140.120.270.270.200.9939.5745.77 2.512.933.722.030.28-0.28-1.32-1.310.180.140.260.330.201.1239.3345.58 2.202.753.672.060.32-0.38-0.08-0.140.100.000.310.310.200.9340.3545.40 2.182.933.622.030.35-0.51-0.76-0.920.020.060.320.370.190.9739.6344.55 2.492.893.172.080.34-0.51-0.80-0.97-0.030.010.210.210.200.6045.0348.45 2.092.853.322.040.35-0.32-0.24-0.210.150.160.350.370.211.2438.0744.60 2.082.763.952.040.45-0.300.170.310.220.240.300.340.211.3241.3748.99 2.542.943.902.030.39-0.280.190.300.160.220.09-0.010.200.6646.3951.51 2.442.923.832.060.39-0.330.120.190.180.270.190.170.201.0142.1650.02 2.202.763.592.050.39-0.300.200.280.270.330.180.080.211.0744.4150.74 2.082.753.962.010.42-0.310.230.340.200.240.120.090.210.8547.2552.14 2.232.833.622.030.43-0.480.160.100.310.290.130.030.210.9641.7045.38 2.713.134.092.430.39-0.190.320.530.130.21-0.04-0.070.200.4348.6452.00 2.893.324.262.590.230.020.240.490.120.13-0.05-0.090.150.2549.7554.28 2.933.013.942.450.06-0.190.190.070.160.13-0.05-0.060.160.3550.1953.44 2.542.983.932.270.000.140.200.330.160.13-0.08-0.140.100.1747.4650.01 2.642.993.972.340.00-0.080.180.100.120.130.00-0.010.100.3451.4754.49 2.572.973.822.100.010.060.150.210.160.090.000.010.090.3448.1251.35 2.422.873.912.01-0.020.060.150.190.190.120.090.14-0.020.5148.0950.77 2.232.913.572.07-0.030.230.200.400.130.040.050.060.090.3748.9453.03 2.492.943.922.100.020.300.160.480.130.070.080.090.040.4146.8350.52 2.753.013.252.04-0.64-0.24-0.77-1.65-0.31-0.38-0.10-0.210.00-0.9953.4651.22 2.222.953.552.03-0.41-0.19-0.05-0.64-0.08-0.15-0.08-0.10-0.06-0.4849.6649.45 2.863.003.122.02-0.40-0.21-0.19-0.80-0.16-0.07-0.09-0.090.00-0.4249.2549.93 2.102.993.732.01-0.430.08-0.28-0.620.020.06-0.010.10-0.040.13 3.073.003.112.21-0.150.09-0.01-0.070.080.09-0.010.050.010.2149.55 3.723.063.093.01-0.170.310.060.200.090.070.060.04-0.140.1147.23 4.884.103.544.09-0.290.340.100.150.060.020.03-0.07-0.14-0.1050.17 5.074.623.235.03-0.400.480.160.24-0.01-0.030.01-0.08-0.19-0.3050.53 6.825.024.006.06-0.100.390.160.44-0.17-0.22-0.12-0.24-0.19-0.9454.1755.15 7.115.223.447.96-0.360.690.200.53-0.28-0.20-0.25-0.27-0.23-1.2261.4560.41 7.185.143.107.94-0.300.340.180.21-0.40-0.42-0.34-0.40-0.09-1.6565.7460.10 6.014.242.897.11-0.070.320.190.45-0.30-0.29-0.35-0.33-0.22-1.4862.7457.89 5.093.932.897.02-0.020.340.150.47-0.25-0.18-0.24-0.19-0.15-1.0063.4556.43 5.034.042.756.60-0.040.360.110.43-0.30-0.29-0.32-0.28-0.15-1.3465.3459.06 4.923.942.625.90-0.060.110.060.10-0.41-0.34-0.37-0.33-0.30-1.7568.7963.11 4.923.763.125.25-0.060.310.090.34-0.21-0.18-0.23-0.14-0.21-0.9764.1560.50 4.093.913.205.24-0.350.380.050.08-0.28-0.26-0.28-0.07-0.26-1.1665.9061.63 3.843.053.034.82-0.110.160.060.11-0.20-0.09-0.18-0.06-0.24-0.7763.3257.55 3.052.972.993.89-0.410.300.05-0.06-0.09-0.08-0.060.06-0.48-0.6557.4056.19 4.093.893.393.94-0.830.370.05-0.41-0.16-0.33-0.10-0.11-0.46-1.1660.8857.14 60.50 34.27 38.2943.58 21.4834.17 17.9520.52 9.668.56 9.5810.45 9.049.70 6.5810.43 19.6924.33 23.9128.83 22.5224.76 23.7826.91 5.6355.53 39.0436.256.58 55.338.22 8.89 10.54 73.99 20.54 13.26 13.09 10.49 9.48 5.73 5.43 5.14 4.76 4.48 4.39 3.20