{ "terms": { "url": "https://www.bankofcanada.ca/terms/" }, "groupDetail": { "label": "Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2023", "description": "Consumers believe inflation has fallen, but their expectations for inflation in the near term are showing little progress in returning to pre-pandemic levels. Slow progress may be due to persistently high inflation expectations for services such as rent. In addition, consumers increasingly think domestic factors, such as high government spending, are supporting high inflation, and they believe these factors will take longer to resolve than global factors. Consumers have adjusted their behaviour in response to prolonged high inflation—more people are paying attention to inflation and changing their spending habits. However, actions that may support inflation, such as seeking wage increases to offset it, are dissipating. The negative effects of high interest rates are broadening, and indicators of household financial stress are deteriorating. Consumers remain uncertain about the economic outlook, and this uncertainty is weighing on their spending plans. Workers think the labour market has weakened slightly. However, expectations for wage growth remain high, supported by cost-of-living adjustments in some workers’ wage contracts.", "link": "https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=236472" }, "seriesDetail": { "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "label": "2023Q3", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "label": "2023Q4", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "label": "2023Q3", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "label": "2023Q4", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "label": "Worse off", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "label": "About the same", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "label": "Better off", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "label": "Not impacted", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "label": "Reducing spending in response to interest rate expectations", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "label": "Reducing spending in response to inflation expectations", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "label": "2023Q3", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "label": "2023Q4", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "label": "Perceptions about current inflation", "description": "Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months?", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "label": "1-year-ahead inflation expectations", "description": "Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months?", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "label": "2-year-ahead inflation expectations", "description": "Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months?", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "label": "5-year-ahead inflation expectations", "description": "Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months?", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S1": { "label": "2023Q1", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S2": { "label": "2023Q2", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S3": { "label": "2023Q3", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S4": { "label": "2023Q4", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C11_S1": { "label": "% wage growth by COLA adjustment", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C1B_S1": { "label": "Share of respondents", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S1": { "label": "Easy to predict", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S2": { "label": "Difficult to predict", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C10_S1": { "label": "Public sector workers", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C10_S2": { "label": "Private sector workers", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "d", "name": "Date" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C4_S1": { "label": "2023Q3", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C4_S2": { "label": "2023Q4", "description": "", "dimension": { "key": "k", "name": "Category" } } }, "observations": [ { "k": "Goods|Gasoline", "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "v": "5.94" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "v": "5.43" } }, { "k": "Goods|Food", "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "v": "7.14" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "v": "5.77" } }, { "k": "Goods|Cars", "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "v": "7.04" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "v": "6.50" } }, { "k": "Services|Rent", "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "v": "9.51" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "v": "9.28" } }, { "k": "Services|Entertainment", "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "v": "9.33" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "v": "9.20" } }, { "k": "Services|Meals at restaurants", "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S1": { "v": "9.58" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C2_S2": { "v": "9.37" } }, { "k": "Domestic factors|High government spending", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "24.34" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "23.19" } }, { "k": "Domestic factors|Businesses trying to increase their profits", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "9.18" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "11.44" } }, { "k": "Domestic factors|Labour shortages", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "10.61" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "7.96" } }, { "k": "Domestic factors|Consumer demand", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "6.91" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "9.60" } }, { "k": "Global factors|Global conflicts", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "6.29" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "11.83" } }, { "k": "Global factors|Supply chain issues", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "17.09" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "11.20" } }, { "k": "Global factors|Oil and energy prices", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "8.97" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "7.96" } }, { "k": "Global factors|Climate change", "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S1": { "v": "4.23" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C3_S2": { "v": "3.37" } }, { "k": "Impacts of higher inflation|2022Q4", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "56.63" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "8.11" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "1.36" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "33.90" } }, { "k": "Impacts of higher inflation|2023Q1", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "61.84" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "12.73" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "2.85" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "22.58" } }, { "k": "Impacts of higher inflation|2023Q2", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "61.70" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "10.66" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "2.33" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "25.31" } }, { "k": "Impacts of higher inflation|2023Q3", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "66.17" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "10.94" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "1.10" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "21.79" } }, { "k": "Impacts of higher inflation|2023Q4", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "64.66" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "8.68" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "1.52" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "25.14" } }, { "k": "Impacts of recent rate increases|2022Q4", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "29.96" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "2.73" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "3.96" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "63.36" } }, { "k": "Impacts of recent rate increases|2023Q1", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "35.68" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "5.85" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "4.38" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "54.10" } }, { "k": "Impacts of recent rate increases|2023Q2", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "34.97" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "6.42" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "3.35" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "55.25" } }, { "k": "Impacts of recent rate increases|2023Q3", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "37.22" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "6.63" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "3.04" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "53.11" } }, { "k": "Impacts of recent rate increases|2023Q4", "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S1": { "v": "39.21" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S2": { "v": "7.41" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S3": { "v": "2.51" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C6_S4": { "v": "50.87" } }, { "k": "Over or completed", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "3.79" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "4.15" } }, { "k": "Mostly behind us", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "11.05" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "11.66" } }, { "k": "About halfway done", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "22.10" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "24.81" } }, { "k": "Just beginning", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "27.60" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "30.32" } }, { "k": "Have not yet begun but will begin", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "6.64" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "5.11" } }, { "k": "No effect", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "11.84" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "4.88" } }, { "k": "I don\u0027t know", "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S1": { "v": "16.97" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C7_S2": { "v": "19.08" } }, { "k": "All renters", "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S1": { "v": "15.62" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S2": { "v": "16.66" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S3": { "v": "17.79" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S4": { "v": "23.47" } }, { "k": "Newcomers", "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S1": { "v": "25.39" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S2": { "v": "25.14" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S3": { "v": "29.18" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C8_S4": { "v": "39.33" } }, { "k": "My contract includes cost-of-living adjustments", "CSCE_2023Q4_C11_S1": { "v": "4.39" } }, { "k": "My employer usually adjusts my pay to inflation, but I do not have cost-of-living adjustments in my contract", "CSCE_2023Q4_C11_S1": { "v": "3.27" } }, { "k": "My pay is not adjusted for inflation", "CSCE_2023Q4_C11_S1": { "v": "2.21" } }, { "k": "Hold less than 2 weeks’ worth of expenses in liquid assets", "CSCE_2023Q4_C1B_S1": { "v": "12" } }, { "k": "Frequently run out of money before the end of the month", "CSCE_2023Q4_C1B_S1": { "v": "16" } }, { "k": "Would not be able to immediately pay for an unexpected expense of $500", "CSCE_2023Q4_C1B_S1": { "v": "9" } }, { "k": "2023Q1", "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S1": { "v": "-0.40" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S2": { "v": "-0.48" } }, { "k": "2023Q2", "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S1": { "v": "-0.28" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S2": { "v": "-0.60" } }, { "k": "2023Q3", "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S1": { "v": "-0.55" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S2": { "v": "-0.60" } }, { "k": "2023Q4", "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S1": { "v": "-0.42" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C9_S2": { "v": "-0.69" } }, { "k": "Push for higher pay", "CSCE_2023Q4_C4_S1": { "v": "2.30" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C4_S2": { "v": "1.99" } }, { "k": "Increase income in other ways (change jobs, work more hours)", "CSCE_2023Q4_C4_S1": { "v": "1.75" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C4_S2": { "v": "1.01" } }, { "d": "2014-10-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.91" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "3.03" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.41" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "38.38" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "46.20" } }, { "d": "2015-01-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.08" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.91" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.04" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "39.57" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "45.91" } }, { "d": "2015-04-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.51" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.93" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.72" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.03" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "39.33" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "45.69" } }, { "d": "2015-07-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.20" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.75" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.67" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.06" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "40.35" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "45.40" } }, { "d": "2015-10-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.18" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.93" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.62" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.03" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "39.63" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "44.59" } }, { "d": "2016-01-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.49" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.89" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.17" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.08" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "45.03" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "48.45" } }, { "d": "2016-04-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.09" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.85" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.32" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.04" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "38.10" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "44.60" } }, { "d": "2016-07-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.08" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.76" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.95" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.04" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "41.37" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "49.10" } }, { "d": "2016-10-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.54" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.94" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.90" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.03" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "46.39" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "51.51" } }, { "d": "2017-01-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.44" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.92" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.83" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.06" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "42.16" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "50.02" } }, { "d": "2017-04-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.20" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.76" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.59" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.05" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "44.41" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "50.80" } }, { "d": "2017-07-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.08" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.75" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.96" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.01" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "47.25" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "52.19" } }, { "d": "2017-10-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.23" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.83" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.62" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.03" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "41.70" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "45.41" } }, { "d": "2018-01-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.71" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "3.13" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "4.09" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.43" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "48.64" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "52.06" } }, { "d": "2018-04-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.89" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "3.32" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "4.26" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.59" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C10_S1": { "v": "1.78" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C10_S2": { "v": "3.03" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "49.75" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "54.35" } }, { "d": "2018-07-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.93" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "3.01" }, "CES_C1_LONG_TERM": { "v": "3.94" }, "CES_C1_PERCEPTIONS": { "v": "2.45" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C10_S1": { "v": "1.95" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C10_S2": { "v": "2.42" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S1": { "v": "50.19" }, "CSCE_2023Q4_C5_S2": { "v": "53.53" } }, { "d": "2018-10-01", "CES_C1_SHORT_TERM": { "v": "2.54" }, "CES_C1_MID_TERM": { "v": "2.98" }, 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