Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2022 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/?p=230750 Travel, accommodation, food service and recreation Clothing and footwear Groceries Durables (e.g., cars and home appliances) Transportation (e.g., gasoline) Repairs, maintenance and other spending Education, health and personal care Make purchases sooner Reduce spending and save more Make purchases later Perceptions compared with last year Expectations for next year Do you expect that your earnings will eventually catch up with recent inflation? Mild and short-lived Mild but prolonged Moderately severe and somewhat long Severe but short-lived Severe and prolonged Recession impacts Increase Decrease Stay the same Don’t know 1-year-ahead inflation expectations Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? 2-year-ahead inflation expectations Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? 5-year-ahead inflation expectations Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? Perceptions about current inflation Inflation expectations for each horizon: What do you expect the rate of inflation (deflation) to be? Perceptions about current inflation: What do you think the rate of inflation (deflation) was over the last 12 months? 2019Q4 2022Q4 The main reason inflation is currently outside the target range When factor will stop 87.7873.5258.3349.6347.9632.4121.67 13 16 19 52 7.0216.9947.4711.7616.76 3.8713.8649.5311.0821.66 49.05 43.74 32.59 15.48 14.64 10.0626.45 2.251.47 24.3416.60 13.898.86 8.575.91 20.1620.15 14.3115.46 29.91 13.24 20.33 32.28 20.75 2.913.032.418.4548.0917.76 2.082.912.048.0549.5618.18 2.512.933.722.038.1349.6417.94 2.202.753.672.068.4750.3418.52 2.182.933.622.038.5749.3320.72 2.492.893.172.087.9751.7123.49 2.092.853.322.049.9647.6719.53 2.082.763.952.0410.5853.7118.59 2.542.943.902.0310.9555.1822.81 2.442.923.832.0610.8753.4619.32 2.202.763.592.0510.1453.9322.96 2.082.753.962.0110.3356.6220.17 2.232.833.622.0310.1552.7919.15 2.713.134.092.439.8657.5422.7830.3737.89 2.893.324.262.599.3658.2724.5532.6540.25 2.933.013.942.459.1856.3925.3031.0838.23 2.542.983.932.2712.3153.2326.1333.9740.28 2.642.993.972.3412.9558.5628.5228.7134.67 2.572.973.822.1011.2955.1926.5629.1934.75 2.422.873.912.0113.4654.1928.1822.4329.14 2.232.913.572.0712.9355.0027.6627.0833.17 2.492.943.922.1013.8252.2825.8023.2229.77 17.5818.0341.3723.02 17.9917.6641.6822.67 18.1117.7341.8122.35 18.2717.8441.7022.18 18.6917.7441.3022.26 18.5517.7141.1622.58 18.9917.7340.9622.31 18.7417.8741.0322.37 18.6218.1241.0122.26 18.7117.9941.5621.74 18.5218.5341.3121.64 18.4218.4440.7922.35 18.7818.4040.4122.41 18.7018.3540.6822.26 18.7218.1140.7722.40 18.7018.1440.5322.63 19.2118.2740.4522.06 19.2918.1140.7521.85 19.5217.9640.4822.04 19.5417.8540.2722.34 19.5518.2439.8922.32 19.8218.0539.9122.22 19.9017.7539.9422.41 19.9717.5640.3322.14 20.2417.0840.0622.62 19.9517.2440.1322.68 20.0217.2640.3922.32 19.9717.2840.5022.25 19.9817.0740.8322.12 19.8417.1540.7922.21 20.1916.8840.7922.14 19.8316.8240.9122.44 19.4616.7141.4422.38 19.8516.5041.2222.43 20.1516.2340.7722.84 20.6816.2340.4122.68 20.7716.1039.9923.15 20.7716.2539.8823.10 21.4315.8539.7023.02 21.3216.0340.1122.54 21.2015.9340.3522.52 21.0016.0740.5122.42 20.9816.3540.1322.54 20.8716.5940.0622.48 20.6016.3140.0523.04 20.2016.6340.1323.03 20.4616.4440.2122.88 20.4916.8639.8222.83 20.3816.5040.0523.07 20.3116.5640.1622.98 20.5416.4739.6723.31 20.5916.3239.6823.42 20.1517.2539.6023.00 20.4317.3739.4622.73 20.5917.3339.4822.60 20.2917.9739.2522.49 20.3318.1839.0822.41 20.7518.3038.5222.43 20.2818.8238.2822.63 20.4218.8938.5622.14 20.2219.5237.9822.28 19.6320.2838.0422.06 19.1920.8038.1321.89 18.6021.6638.1921.55 18.1822.5837.8921.35 18.0323.5837.2021.19 17.5024.1937.3021.01 17.3925.4536.0921.06 17.2426.4935.4620.80 17.1327.4934.5720.81 16.9428.3234.0220.72 16.8028.9133.5020.79 16.5329.8732.8220.78 16.6830.4632.1220.74 16.1431.4331.7820.66 16.2631.9131.2820.55 16.0332.8130.8020.35 15.7633.7329.9720.54 15.4134.7029.5820.30 2.753.013.252.0412.8156.4933.6535.0741.9015.2335.5628.5720.63 14.9835.8628.4920.67 14.6536.7128.0920.54 14.6437.6327.1020.61 14.5238.1526.6420.68 14.5938.7625.7920.86 14.3139.4425.6920.56 14.2439.8725.1620.72 13.9140.7724.4120.91 13.9241.1623.9320.98 14.1541.3423.4521.06 13.8142.0323.0621.10 13.7442.0322.4721.76 13.9641.8222.1822.04 13.8941.5522.2122.35 13.6341.8121.7022.85 13.7841.1522.2522.81 13.5341.2222.3422.90 13.4541.2922.2622.99 13.5241.1422.4622.88 13.5941.0022.4922.92 13.7340.7322.3723.17 13.6240.4622.2423.68 13.5340.4222.2423.82 13.5140.5422.4823.47 13.7840.1822.3923.65 14.1240.0122.2523.62 14.1539.8122.1923.84 14.4739.5522.5723.40 14.8039.0922.7723.35 15.1638.4122.9223.51 14.9638.0923.2123.73 15.0937.5823.5923.74 14.9237.5423.7723.77 15.0337.2623.6324.07 14.8436.8224.3124.03 15.1036.3424.3724.19 15.4736.1124.4423.99 15.2936.0024.6724.04 15.7035.1924.8324.28 16.2034.8925.1323.78 16.1234.7325.6223.53 16.0534.5225.6523.78 16.2134.2125.7823.80 16.1434.6825.3223.86 16.2334.5825.3023.88 16.1934.2125.4824.12 16.3134.4025.2024.09 16.4534.3625.0424.15 16.7734.1725.2123.85 16.8434.3625.3123.49 17.0933.6525.5823.69 16.8433.3325.1224.71 16.8933.1125.4924.51 16.4032.9026.2124.50 16.1132.7326.5124.65 15.7832.5826.3225.31 15.5032.6326.3425.53 15.5932.7125.9925.71 15.5832.6925.9425.79 15.6932.6825.8525.78 15.7332.7225.9825.57 15.6432.6526.2425.47 16.4032.5425.4325.64 16.3732.5725.2525.81 16.6632.0625.6425.64 17.1931.7725.6525.40 17.2431.7425.8725.15 16.9031.8325.9825.29 17.4531.6325.7725.15 17.7631.0825.9125.26 17.8731.5725.7424.82 17.7131.3626.1724.77 18.6230.4426.0324.91 19.1430.2925.8824.69 18.9429.6726.6724.72 18.7529.3327.1224.79 18.3929.5827.5424.49 18.6829.2527.9824.09 18.9629.1827.9923.87 19.3729.1628.4023.08 19.2029.1228.3923.29 19.8528.8428.2923.02 20.1128.7728.4422.68 20.1929.0828.7322.00 20.3728.8528.7822.00 20.1628.7029.1821.96 20.6228.4529.3221.61 20.8128.3929.2521.55 20.5727.9929.7221.71 20.8328.0629.5121.60 2.222.953.552.0314.7751.8231.5335.0638.6120.3928.1229.9921.50 20.3827.9830.5521.10 20.0028.2330.4521.32 19.5528.3230.5321.60 19.4028.5130.3121.78 19.7028.3030.2321.77 19.4828.4130.2621.85 19.3028.5930.5321.58 19.4327.9731.1621.44 19.6927.4431.4221.45 19.2527.6131.7821.36 19.2227.3032.1121.36 19.2827.5731.7321.41 19.1028.1131.8120.98 18.8828.1931.9720.95 18.5628.3431.5721.53 18.1428.6631.2921.91 18.0328.3631.7121.90 18.0128.1931.8621.93 17.9228.2331.7322.12 18.3728.0131.5622.05 18.6127.8731.4122.11 18.8327.7331.3122.13 19.2427.6131.0122.13 18.6527.5231.0422.79 18.6327.2931.3422.74 18.6927.5230.9422.85 18.6827.3531.4422.53 18.9027.3131.6822.12 18.8327.3731.6322.18 18.6927.6531.5422.12 18.5627.7631.8721.80 18.6727.5332.0621.75 18.4627.6832.0721.80 18.3127.7932.1521.75 18.1928.1832.2021.43 18.6227.8431.8721.68 18.6128.1531.8321.41 18.1229.0931.7721.03 17.9329.7031.3421.05 18.0929.2331.7220.96 18.0628.8032.0521.09 18.7628.3531.7621.13 18.9228.2632.1020.73 19.0727.7232.3120.90 18.9427.8032.5720.70 19.3727.9032.6620.08 19.4527.8532.7020.00 18.9928.1132.9219.98 18.8427.8733.1220.18 18.8128.1233.1819.90 18.4427.8733.7619.94 18.6227.9233.9719.50 18.6927.8534.0719.39 18.8427.5734.1319.46 18.8427.6533.8119.70 18.9327.2833.7820.02 19.4727.1833.5419.81 20.2926.5733.5519.59 20.6326.4633.0919.83 20.5526.7632.9419.74 20.6426.5932.9919.78 20.5926.5332.9319.95 20.7226.3432.7520.19 20.1926.7932.9620.06 20.2226.4932.8620.43 20.7325.5232.8820.87 20.9925.1233.3120.59 21.0525.4632.9020.59 21.4425.4932.4520.62 21.2925.6932.3020.72 21.3125.4632.5120.72 21.1525.7632.4920.60 21.2525.3732.4120.97 21.0425.3132.2021.45 20.5525.2232.4621.76 20.7225.5031.8921.90 20.7225.8331.4821.97 20.5425.5331.8922.04 20.8425.9031.3521.91 20.7226.1630.8622.26 20.7226.4230.4322.43 20.6526.5230.5922.23 20.2726.3930.6722.67 20.0726.7830.3722.77 19.8826.7130.4222.99 19.2927.0430.4223.25 19.0727.1130.7323.09 18.9726.8430.6523.54 18.8526.8430.8023.51 19.1026.3030.9923.61 19.0526.3330.9223.72 2.863.003.122.0214.8652.4131.8336.0038.0119.2026.0030.8423.97 19.3325.8930.7924.00 19.0726.2830.5424.12 18.5326.6730.4024.40 18.3626.8730.4524.32 17.9927.2430.6624.10 17.5527.9530.1724.33 17.5027.9430.2724.29 17.6328.0329.9924.36 17.2428.5529.8624.36 17.0728.5029.8924.53 17.1328.6929.6924.49 16.9628.2730.2024.58 17.0728.1430.6224.18 16.9828.4930.3924.14 16.6828.8130.5723.94 16.5928.5531.0523.81 16.3228.5231.2223.95 15.9828.8831.4323.71 16.1628.9731.4223.46 15.9828.7931.6123.63 15.9328.9731.6623.44 15.9629.3831.9622.71 16.1728.8831.4323.52 15.8829.3031.7023.12 15.8929.1931.5923.34 15.9529.6431.2623.16 15.5929.6831.6223.10 15.4229.7132.1322.74 15.3929.9032.2622.46 15.4529.8732.5822.10 15.7429.7332.4222.10 15.9829.2432.6122.18 16.1229.1632.5722.16 16.3628.4433.3921.80 16.0829.0233.0421.86 15.9929.3533.3321.33 16.2129.2933.2621.23 16.2129.5633.0121.21 16.3229.3133.3521.02 16.1729.4033.5420.88 16.0029.4033.5121.09 16.1629.3833.2821.18 16.0429.1533.3821.42 16.2129.2333.4021.16 16.1729.1033.6121.12 16.2828.9033.3521.45 16.2328.9432.9521.89 16.1529.1733.0921.59 16.0429.2032.7721.98 15.9428.8632.8722.33 15.5429.5833.1421.73 15.8429.4332.9821.75 15.5029.8733.1121.51 15.2230.1832.9721.63 15.6430.3932.4421.52 15.5830.5032.2421.67 15.5530.4531.9022.09 15.2930.6831.8122.21 15.1930.4431.9522.41 14.7330.9631.8522.45 14.6431.1631.3522.85 14.3531.2531.5322.87 14.7630.8231.6822.73 14.7730.7731.4722.99 14.8530.5031.7522.89 15.1130.2531.8122.81 14.8930.3231.4823.29 15.3030.0831.3223.29 15.3530.1231.3223.20 15.3829.9531.7822.89 15.9629.5531.7022.78 16.0129.7231.4622.80 15.9929.9631.1422.90 16.0929.7331.2522.92 16.3129.8631.4222.41 16.1230.2331.6821.96 16.8329.7731.8821.52 17.1329.6231.4421.81 17.3029.4331.4921.77 17.3829.1831.7521.69 17.7328.8831.4621.93 17.8428.7831.7921.58 18.0228.6931.8621.43 18.0029.1331.2421.63 18.2029.1431.2821.38 18.0228.9131.4021.67 18.2828.9931.5021.23 18.6229.0531.2321.08 18.7728.9531.2421.03 19.0729.0430.5621.33 18.6329.2930.2621.82 2.102.993.732.0131.1929.9418.8529.0330.5221.61 18.9629.4629.8821.69 18.6929.7229.7921.80 18.9929.9529.6121.45 18.6630.2329.8221.28 18.5830.2630.0121.14 18.2630.4029.7821.56 17.7130.8129.8121.66 17.5031.0929.8221.59 17.6331.1329.6121.63 17.6131.7329.4121.25 17.5031.8229.5321.14 17.7831.4529.0421.72 17.1331.7029.3121.85 16.6932.0529.3421.92 16.6232.0729.4221.89 16.6132.2729.0222.10 16.4032.4129.0422.13 16.5731.8929.0922.45 16.3831.8429.3022.48 16.9131.3629.3022.43 16.7431.6129.3122.35 16.8531.3429.5722.23 17.1031.1629.3322.41 16.9131.0029.5222.57 16.7230.7729.8622.65 16.7230.5230.2622.49 16.8230.3630.5322.28 16.8930.6930.2922.12 16.6730.6630.5822.08 16.7330.8630.4621.94 16.7930.5830.6921.94 17.1630.1430.6722.03 17.1130.2830.6221.99 17.5330.2230.4421.81 17.8829.7930.8121.52 18.2829.3630.8221.55 18.4729.1431.0221.37 18.4028.7731.0621.77 18.3828.2831.4021.94 18.3828.1031.8821.64 18.7128.0331.5921.67 19.0027.8031.8321.37 19.2027.5632.0721.18 19.2527.1032.2321.43 19.6126.8632.2021.33 19.6626.8132.2621.28 19.6026.4232.3221.66 18.8226.4132.9721.80 18.8426.1433.2821.74 19.1326.2333.2221.43 19.1625.8933.5321.43 19.5825.3733.5921.46 19.7725.2533.6321.36 19.9324.9933.5221.56 20.5424.4733.4921.51 20.5424.1433.6321.69 20.7123.7233.9421.64 20.8223.1934.2521.75 20.8923.1334.3721.62 20.6823.3634.2721.69 20.8723.0433.8822.21 20.9122.9233.9022.27 20.9522.8733.7422.45 21.0022.6333.8522.53 20.9022.4534.1022.56 21.4221.9634.1922.43 21.3622.0334.0322.58 21.6321.7933.4823.10 21.7221.5033.5023.28 21.8021.1133.5523.54 21.8920.9733.4823.66 22.2320.9833.5123.29 22.2920.7533.9423.02 22.3020.9333.8722.90 22.4920.9133.8622.74 22.8220.8533.6922.63 22.7620.6433.7522.86 22.6420.4533.8623.06 22.4720.6333.9422.96 22.5120.4834.1622.85 22.6020.3934.0222.99 22.5020.3134.3022.89 22.2720.3034.2523.18 22.4320.1434.2623.17 22.5620.2433.9323.27 22.8420.3933.8022.98 22.9720.5033.7022.83 23.1519.9233.9123.01 23.5120.0134.0622.43 3.073.003.112.2131.2233.2223.4119.8134.3622.42 23.3519.7834.3222.54 23.4119.8634.2722.46 23.4319.8534.2822.44 23.1920.7633.7022.35 23.3720.8133.5322.29 23.3121.1533.5821.95 22.9121.3333.7422.02 22.3021.9933.7921.93 22.3922.2933.3222.00 22.0822.6833.1922.05 22.0722.7932.8622.28 21.9622.5532.9922.50 21.9022.6232.9622.52 22.1822.6532.6322.55 22.2922.6332.2722.80 22.3622.8631.9122.86 22.1223.2431.7122.92 21.8624.0031.3522.78 21.9424.1331.4222.51 21.8324.3331.2722.56 21.8324.5931.1722.41 21.5724.8331.2722.32 21.4224.6431.6722.27 21.4124.3031.9522.35 21.4124.1131.7922.69 21.4324.5031.3522.72 20.9524.2332.0322.79 21.0424.3531.8322.78 20.9424.8731.4122.78 20.8124.8931.4322.88 20.8524.8631.2423.05 21.0724.0931.7423.10 21.1923.8831.9722.96 21.1823.8431.9023.08 21.3423.8832.1322.65 21.9723.0832.2022.75 21.9622.5632.4523.03 22.1422.2332.4923.13 22.3621.9632.6922.99 22.3922.0032.3523.25 22.4221.9832.5023.10 22.5221.8332.5923.06 22.7421.5933.1322.55 22.5021.1133.4222.97 23.2720.7733.1222.84 23.4220.0133.4623.11 23.2420.1333.5623.07 23.5419.6233.5223.32 23.5719.5933.3023.54 23.5919.2233.3523.83 24.2019.0633.0023.74 24.0919.2032.8023.91 24.0519.2032.9223.83 23.9919.3533.0523.60 24.4019.0032.6323.96 24.4318.7132.7924.07 24.7118.1133.2923.88 24.8517.9433.1424.06 25.1317.7733.1123.99 25.1317.5932.9724.30 25.1317.8532.4924.52 25.7917.5332.4624.22 25.8917.2032.2524.66 25.9117.3432.1324.62 26.1517.2931.9724.60 26.1717.2432.2524.34 26.2517.3832.0224.35 26.4317.0232.4324.12 26.4616.8232.4524.28 26.5616.6932.3724.37 26.6117.0931.6524.64 27.0616.8931.4624.59 26.4316.4232.2924.86 26.4016.6731.7925.13 27.0516.4431.2825.22 26.9616.7131.3924.93 26.9616.6031.8124.63 27.1016.5831.6624.65 27.0016.7131.4624.83 26.8516.6331.6924.83 27.1216.4031.5524.93 27.5815.9131.3625.14 27.9115.7431.4524.90 28.1015.5731.5324.79 28.2415.5231.3624.89 28.2215.3431.7224.72 28.1715.2631.9824.59 28.2215.3132.0224.44 28.3015.0232.1924.48 27.8115.0132.4724.72 3.723.063.093.0129.7835.0527.8115.1632.1724.86 27.7215.3232.0224.94 27.7315.4132.4024.46 27.7015.2432.4524.60 27.5614.7832.8224.84 27.7714.9232.5824.73 28.0514.7732.6024.59 27.7915.1232.6024.49 27.9414.4733.0824.52 28.0614.9133.0224.02 28.1315.1432.8123.92 28.5914.9132.8223.68 28.5814.6033.0123.80 28.9214.4932.9223.67 28.9714.3932.8523.79 28.9914.6132.5423.87 28.9314.4932.7423.84 29.4314.4532.5823.55 29.4314.8132.4623.31 29.2114.9132.4723.41 28.8415.3132.1423.71 28.8815.4531.8223.85 28.9815.3031.8423.88 29.0715.1931.8323.91 28.9115.1731.9423.98 28.7815.0632.2723.89 28.6415.0932.5123.76 28.5515.2232.7623.47 29.0615.0632.7423.15 29.1614.8932.7923.17 28.9614.8932.8723.29 29.3214.9632.3523.37 29.4915.4032.0223.09 29.3015.5332.0923.09 29.1015.6931.7123.50 29.1415.3131.8423.72 28.9115.9231.5923.59 28.9315.8331.4223.83 28.9015.8331.2923.98 28.7215.9931.3523.94 28.5516.1531.5523.76 28.0016.1731.5324.30 28.2016.0031.4524.35 27.9715.9332.2123.90 27.6016.3732.1023.94 27.0116.3032.3024.39 26.9415.8832.6124.57 26.7316.2532.7024.33 26.7716.1932.8924.15 26.6316.5033.1323.75 26.2716.7833.2123.74 25.9617.0833.2923.68 25.9417.3233.1323.61 26.0417.4632.7823.72 25.9917.3132.6924.00 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