February 21, 2019
Inflation targets
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February 21, 2019
Monetary policy brings benefits—but has limits
In his first speech of 2019, Governor Stephen S. Poloz explains that monetary policy is a powerful tool to promote our economic welfare. But he also notes that it has some key limits that need to be better understood in the face of uncertainty. -
Limited Commitment, Endogenous Credibility and the Challenges of Price-level Targeting
This paper studies the cost of limited commitment when a central bank has the discretion to adjust policy whenever the costs of honoring its past commitments become high. Specifically, we consider a central bank that seeks to implement optimal policy in a New Keynesian model by committing to a price-level target path. -
Credibility, Flexibility and Renewal: The Evolution of Inflation Targeting in Canada
In 1991, Canada became the second country to adopt an inflation target as a central pillar of its monetary policy framework. The regime has proven much more successful than initially expected, both in achieving price stability and in stabilizing the real economy against a wide range of shocks. -
November 20, 2018
Choosing the Best Monetary Policy Framework for Canada
Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn A. Wilkins discusses public policy issues around monetary policy frameworks and how those issues have become more complex in the post-global financial crisis world. -
Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts
We present a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada’s staff economic projections. We then provide a forecast evaluation for GDP growth and CPI inflation since 1982: we compare the staff forecasts with those from commonly used time-series models estimated with real-time data and with forecasts from other professional forecasters and provide standard bias tests. -
September 8, 2018
Investing in Monetary Policy Independence in a Small Open Economy
Governor Poloz discusses policies that can help central banks keep the ability to pursue independent monetary policy in a financially integrated global economy. -
September 6, 2018
An Update on Canada’s Economic Resilience
Senior Deputy Governor Wilkins discusses economic developments since the July Monetary Policy Report and Governing Council’s deliberations leading to yesterday’s policy rate decision. -
June 27, 2018
Let Me Be Clear: From Transparency to Trust and Understanding
Governor Poloz talks about how the Bank is improving communications with the public and helping financial markets understand its monetary policy approach. -
May 16, 2018
The (Mostly) Long and Short of Potential Output
Deputy Governor Lawrence Schembri discusses the importance of potential output to monetary policy, as well as policy challenges and opportunities in a world of low potential output growth.