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8966 Results

Forecasting Risks to the Canadian Economic Outlook at a Daily Frequency

Staff Discussion Paper 2023-19 Chinara Azizova, Bruno Feunou, James Kyeong
This paper quantifies tail risks in the outlooks for Canadian inflation and real GDP growth by estimating their conditional distributions at a daily frequency. We show that the tail risk probabilities derived from the conditional distributions accurately reflect realized outcomes during the sample period from 2002 to 2022.
September 7, 2023

Staying the course

Speech summary Tiff Macklem Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta
Speaking a day after we decided to maintain the policy interest rate at 5%, Governor Tiff Macklem explores some key factors behind the decision. He also explains why the 2% inflation target supports a stable economy and greater prosperity for households and businesses.
September 7, 2023

Media Availability: Calgary Chamber of Commerce

Economic Progress Report — Governor Tiff Macklem takes questions from reporters following his remarks (15:30 (ET) approx.).

September 7, 2023

Speech: Calgary Chamber of Commerce

Economic Progress Report — Governor Tiff Macklem speaks before the Calgary Chamber of Commerce (14:10 (ET) approx.).

September 7, 2023

Economic progress report: Target in sight, but we’re not there yet

Remarks Tiff Macklem Calgary Chamber of Commerce Calgary, Alberta
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem talks about the Bank’s latest interest rate announcement and what’s happening with inflation beyond the headline numbers. He also discusses why the Bank’s 2% inflation target is the right one.
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