Find our research on the financial system by keyword, author, content type, JEL code, topic or date of publication.
452
result(s)
A Horse Race of Monetary Policy Regimes: An Experimental Investigation
Staff Working Paper 2022-33
Olena Kostyshyna,
Luba Petersen,
Jing Yang
How should central banks design monetary policy in stable times and during recessions? We run a horse race between five monetary policy frameworks in an experimental laboratory to assess how well the different approaches can manage the public’s expectations and stabilize the economy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation targets,
Monetary policy,
Monetary policy communications,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
C,
C9,
D,
D8,
D84,
E,
E5,
E52,
E58
Cyber Risk and Security Investment
Staff Working Paper 2022-32
Toni Ahnert,
Michael Brolley,
David Cimon,
Ryan Riordan
We develop a principal-agent model of cyber-attacking with fee-paying clients who delegate security decisions to financial platforms. We derive testable implications about clients’ vulnerability to cyber attacks and about the fees charged.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial services,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
D,
D7,
D78,
D8,
D81,
G,
G1,
G18,
G2,
G21,
G23
International Transmission of Quantitative Easing Policies: Evidence from Canada
Staff Working Paper 2022-30
Serdar Kabaca,
Kerem Tuzcuoglu
This paper examines the cross-border spillovers from major economies’ quantitative easing (QE) policies to their trading partners. We concentrate on spillovers from the US to Canada during the zero lower bound period when QE policies were actively used.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
International topics,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E5,
E52,
F,
F4,
F41,
F44
Quantum Monte Carlo for Economics: Stress Testing and Macroeconomic Deep Learning
Staff Working Paper 2022-29
Vladimir Skavysh,
Sofia Priazhkina,
Diego Guala,
Thomas Bromley
Using the quantum Monte Carlo algorithm, we study whether quantum computing can improve the run time of economic applications and challenges in doing so. We apply the algorithm to two models: a stress testing bank model and a DSGE model solved with deep learning. We also present innovations in the algorithm and benchmark it to classical Monte Carlo.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Economic models,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
C6,
C61,
C63,
C68,
C7,
E,
E1,
E13,
G,
G1,
G17,
G2,
G21
Unregulated Lending, Mortgage Regulations and Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2022-28
Ugochi Emenogu,
Brian Peterson
This paper evaluates the effectiveness of macroprudential policies when regulations are uneven across mortgage lender types. We look at credit tightening that results from macroprudential regulations and examine how much of it is counteracted by credit shifting to unregulated lenders. We also study the impact of monetary policy tightening when some lenders are unregulated.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E50,
E52,
E58,
G,
G2,
G21,
G23,
G28
Endogenous Liquidity and Capital Reallocation
Staff Working Paper 2022-27
Wei Cui,
Randall Wright,
Yu Zhu
We study economies where firms acquire capital in primary markets then retrade it in secondary markets after information on idiosyncratic productivity arrives. Our secondary markets incorporate bilateral trade with search, bargaining and liquidity frictions.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Monetary policy
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E22,
E4,
E44
Financial Intermediaries and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from a High-Frequency Identification
Staff Working Paper 2022-24
Pablo Ottonello,
Wenting Song
We provide empirical evidence of effects to the aggregate economy from surprises about financial intermediaries’ net worth based on a high-frequency identification strategy. We estimate that news of a 1% decline in intermediaries’ net worth leads to a 0.2%–0.4% decrease in the market value of nonfinancial firms.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial institutions,
Financial markets,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E32,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E51,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G12,
G2,
G21,
G23,
G24,
G3,
G32
Transmission of Cyber Risk Through the Canadian Wholesale Payment System
Staff Working Paper 2022-23
Anneke Kosse,
Zhentong Lu
This paper studies how the impact of a cyber attack that paralyzes one or multiple banks' ability to send payments would transmit to other banks through the Canadian wholesale payment system. Based on historical payment data, we simulate a wide range of scenarios and evaluate the total payment disruption in the system.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial institutions,
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C4,
C49,
E,
E4,
E42,
E47,
G,
G2,
G21
Expectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields
Staff Working Paper 2022-21
Ming Zeng,
Guihai Zhao
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial markets,
Interest rates
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
G,
G0,
G00,
G1,
G12