Chinese Monetary Policy and Text Analytics: Connecting Words and Deeds
What are the main drivers behind the monetary policy reaction function of the People’s Bank of China?
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result(s)
Global Commodity Markets and Rebalancing in China: The Case of Copper
Staff discussion paper 2019-3
Jeannine Bailliu,
Doga Bilgin,
Kun Mo,
Kurt Niquidet,
Benjamin Sawatzky
Given that China accounts for about half of global copper consumption, it is reasonable to expect that any significant change in Chinese copper consumption will have an impact on the global market.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
JEL Code(s):
O,
O1,
O13,
O14,
Q,
Q0,
Q02
Research Theme(s):
Models and tools,
Econometric, statistical and computational methods,
Monetary policy,
Inflation dynamics and pressures,
Real economy and forecasting,
Structural challenges,
International trade, finance and competitiveness
Can Media and Text Analytics Provide Insights into Labour Market Conditions in China?
Staff working paper 2018-12
Jeannine Bailliu,
Xinfen Han,
Mark Kruger,
Yu-Hsien Liu,
Sri Thanabalasingam
The official Chinese labour market indicators have been seen as problematic, given their small cyclical movement and their only-partial capture of the labour force. In our paper, we build a monthly Chinese labour market conditions index (LMCI) using text analytics applied to mainland Chinese-language newspapers over the period from 2003 to 2017.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
JEL Code(s):
C,
C3,
C38,
C5,
C55,
E,
E2,
E24,
E27
Research Theme(s):
Models and tools,
Econometric, statistical and computational methods,
Monetary policy,
Real economy and forecasting,
Structural challenges,
Demographics and labour supply
How Fast Can China Grow? The Middle Kingdom’s Prospects to 2030
Staff working paper 2016-15
Jeannine Bailliu,
Mark Kruger,
Argyn Toktamyssov,
Wheaton Welbourn
Given its size and importance for global commodity markets, the question of how fast the Chinese economy can grow over the medium term is an important one. This paper addresses this question by examining the evolution of the supply side of the Chinese economy over history and projecting how it will evolve over the next 15 years.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
JEL Code(s):
E,
E2,
E22,
E23,
E3,
E32,
O,
O4
Research Theme(s):
Models and tools,
Economic models,
Monetary policy,
Real economy and forecasting,
Structural challenges,
Demographics and labour supply,
Digitalization and productivity