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296
result(s)
Simulations du ratio du service de la dette des consommateurs en utilisant des données micro
Staff Working Paper 2009-18
Ramdane Djoudad
The author constructs a formal analytic framework to simulate the impact of various economic shocks on the household debt-service ratio, using data from the Canadian Financial Monitor (CFM) survey.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
C3,
C31,
D,
D1,
D14,
E,
E5,
E51
Heterogeneous Beliefs and Housing-Market Boom-Bust Cycles in a Small Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2009-15
Hajime Tomura
This paper introduces heterogeneous beliefs among households in a small open economy model for the Canadian economy. The model suggests that simultaneous boom-bust cycles in house prices, output, investment, consumption and hours worked emerge when credit-constrained mortgage borrowers expect that future house prices will rise and this expectation is neither shared by savers nor realized ex-post.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Inflation targets
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52
Testing for Financial Contagion with Applications to the Canadian Banking System
Staff Working Paper 2009-14
Fuchun Li
The author proposes a new test for financial contagion based on a non-parametric measure of the cross-market correlation. The test does not depend on the assumption that the data are drawn from a given probability distribution; therefore, it allows for maximal flexibility in fitting into the data.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Central bank research,
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C12,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G15
Indebtedness and the Household Financial Health: An Examination of the Canadian Debt Service Ratio Distribution
Staff Working Paper 2008-46
Umar Faruqui
The household debt-to-disposable income ratio in Canada increased from 110 per cent in 1999 to 127 per cent in 2007. This increase has raised questions about the ability of households to service their increased debt if faced with a negative economic or socio-economic shock.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Monetary and financial indicators
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
D11,
D14,
D3,
D39
Price Level Targeting in a Small Open Economy with Financial Frictions: Welfare Analysis
Staff Working Paper 2008-40
Ali Dib,
Caterina Mendicino,
Yahong Zhang
How important are the benefits of low price-level uncertainty? This paper explores the desirability of price-level path targeting in an estimated DSGE model fit to Canadian data. The policy implications are based on social welfare evaluations.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E32,
E5,
E52
The Role of Bank Capital in the Propagation of Shocks
Staff Working Paper 2008-36
Césaire Meh,
Kevin Moran
Recent events in financial markets have underlined the importance of analyzing the link between the financial health of banks and real economic activity. This paper contributes to this analysis by constructing a dynamic general equilibrium model in which the balance sheet of banks affects the propagation of shocks.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Financial institutions,
Financial system regulation and policies,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E44,
E5,
E52,
G,
G2,
G21
The Impact of Sovereign Wealth Funds on International Financial Stability
Staff Discussion Paper 2008-14
Tamara Gomes
Over the recent period, many emerging-market economies and commodity-exporting nations have experienced unprecedented growth and accumulated substantial amounts of foreign exchange reserves. The management of these foreign reserves has led to the emergence of important financial actors: sovereign wealth funds (SWFs).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Recent economic and financial developments
JEL Code(s):
F,
F2,
F21,
F3,
F31,
F32,
G,
G1,
G15
Non-Linearities, Model Uncertainty, and Macro Stress Testing
Staff Working Paper 2008-30
Miroslav Misina,
David Tessier
A distinguishing feature of macro stress testing exercises is the use of macroeconomic models in scenario design and implementation. It is widely agreed that scenarios should be based on "rare but plausible" events that have either resulted in vulnerabilities in the past or could do so in the future.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
C,
C1,
C15,
G,
G2,
G21,
G3,
G33
Good Policies or Good Fortune: What Drives the Compression in Emerging Market Spreads?
Staff Working Paper 2008-25
Philipp Maier,
Garima Vasishtha
Since 2002, spreads on emerging market sovereign debt have fallen to historical lows. Given the close links between sovereign spreads, capital flows to emerging markets, and economic growth, understanding the factors driving these spreads is very important. We address this issue in two stages.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Development economics,
Financial stability,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E43,
F,
F3,
F34,
G,
G1,
G12,
G15