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296
result(s)
A Calibrated Model of Intraday Settlement
Staff Discussion Paper 2018-3
Héctor Pérez Saiz,
Siddharth Untawala,
Gabriel Xerri
This paper estimates potential exposures, netting benefits and settlement gains by merging retail and wholesale payments into batches and conducting multiple intraday settlements in this hypothetical model of a single "calibrated payments system." The results demonstrate that credit risk exposures faced by participants in the system are largely dependent on their relative activity in the retail and wholesale payments systems.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C58,
G,
G2,
G21,
G23
Tail Risk in a Retail Payment System: An Extreme-Value Approach
Staff Discussion Paper 2018-2
Héctor Pérez Saiz,
Blair Williams,
Gabriel Xerri
The increasing importance of risk management in payment systems has led to the development of an array of sophisticated tools designed to mitigate tail risk in these systems. In this paper, we use extreme value theory methods to quantify the level of tail risk in the Canadian retail payment system (ACSS) for the period from 2002 to 2015.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Econometric and statistical methods,
Financial stability,
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
C,
C5,
C58,
G,
G2,
G21,
G23
Who Pays? CCP Resource Provision in the Post-Pittsburgh World
Staff Discussion Paper 2017-17
Jorge Cruz Lopez,
Mark Manning
At the Pittsburgh Summit in 2009, G20 countries announced their commitment to clear all standardized over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives through central counterparties (CCPs). Since then, CCPs have become increasingly important and there has been an extensive program of regulatory enhancements to both them and OTC derivatives markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff discussion papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G2,
G28
Credit Risk Transfer and Bank Insolvency Risk
Staff Working Paper 2017-59
Maarten van Oordt
The present paper shows that, everything else equal, some transactions to transfer portfolio credit risk to third-party investors increase the insolvency risk of banks. This is particularly likely if a bank sells the senior tranche and retains a sufficiently large first-loss position.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Credit risk management,
Financial institutions,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G2,
G21,
G28,
G3,
G32
Recent Evolution of Canada’s Credit-to-GDP Gap: Measurement and Interpretation
Staff Analytical Note 2017-25
Timothy Grieder,
Dylan Hogg,
Thibaut Duprey
Over the past several years, the Bank for International Settlements has noted that Canada’s credit-to-GDP gap has widened and is above thresholds indicating future banking stress.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff analytical notes
Topic(s):
Business fluctuations and cycles,
Credit and credit aggregates,
Financial stability,
Monetary and financial indicators,
Recent economic and financial developments,
Sectoral balance sheet
JEL Code(s):
D,
D1,
E,
E3,
E32,
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G2,
G21,
G3,
G30
A Barometer of Canadian Financial System Vulnerabilities
Staff Analytical Note 2017-24
Thibaut Duprey,
Tom Roberts
This note presents a composite indicator of Canadian financial system vulnerabilities—the Vulnerabilities Barometer. It aims to complement the Bank of Canada’s vulnerabilities assessment by adding a quantitative and synthesized perspective to the more granular (distributional) analysis presented in the Financial System Review.
Optimal Interbank Regulation
Staff Working Paper 2017-48
Thomas J. Carter
Recent years have seen renewed interest in the regulation of interbank markets. A review of the literature in this area identifies two gaps: first, the literature has tended to make ad hoc assumptions about the interbank contract space, which makes it difficult to generate convincing policy prescriptions; second, the literature has tended to focus on ex-post interventions that kick in only after an interbank disruption has come underway (e.g., open-market operations, lender-of-last-resort interventions, bail-outs), rather than ex-ante prudential policies.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G2,
G20
Policy Rules for Capital Controls
Staff Working Paper 2017-42
Gurnain Pasricha
This paper attempts to borrow the tradition of estimating policy reaction functions in monetary policy literature and apply it to capital controls policy literature. Using a novel weekly dataset on capital controls policy actions in 21 emerging economies over the period 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2015, I examine the mercantilist and macroprudential motivations for capital control policies.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rate regimes,
Financial stability,
Financial system regulation and policies,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F4,
F5,
G,
G0,
G1
A Counterfactual Valuation of the Stock Index as a Predictor of Crashes
Staff Working Paper 2017-38
Tom Roberts
Stock market fundamentals would not seem to meaningfully predict returns over a shorter-term horizon—instead, I shift focus to severe downside risk (i.e., crashes).
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Asset pricing,
Financial stability
JEL Code(s):
G,
G0,
G01,
G1,
G12,
G17,
G19