Johan Brannlund - Latest - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-28T11:08:25+00:00Predicting Changes in Canadian Housing Markets with Machine Learning
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/09/staff-discussion-paper-2023-21/
We apply two machine learning algorithms to forecast monthly growth of house prices and existing homes sales in Canada. Although the algorithms can sometimes outperform a linear model, the improvement in forecast accuracy is not always statistically significant.2023-09-29T13:04:48+00:00enPredicting Changes in Canadian Housing Markets with Machine Learning2023-09-29Econometric and statistical methodsFinancial marketsHousingStaff Discussion Paper 2023-21https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/sdp2023-21.pdfStaff Discussion Paper 2023-21Johan BrannlundHelen LaoMaureen MacIsaacJing YangSeptember 2023ACC4C45C5C53DD2RR2R3Are Temporary Oil Supply Shocks Real?
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/12/staff-working-paper-2022-52/
Hurricanes disrupt oil production in the Gulf of Mexico because producers shut in oil platforms to safeguard lives and prevent damage. We examine the effects of these temporary oil supply shocks on real economic activity in the United States.2022-12-20T14:27:55+00:00enAre Temporary Oil Supply Shocks Real?2022-12-20Business fluctuations and cyclesInflation and pricesStaff Working Paper 2022-52https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/swp2022-52.pdfAre Temporary Oil Supply Shocks Real?Johan BrannlundGeoffrey R. DunbarReinhard EllwangerDecember 2022EE3E31E32QQ3Q31Q4Q41Q43Weather the Storms? Hurricanes, Technology and Oil Production
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/08/staff-working-paper-2022-36/
Do technological improvements mitigate the potential damages from extreme weather events? We show that hurricanes lower offshore oil production in the Gulf of Mexico and that stronger storms have larger impacts. Regulations enacted in 1980 that required improved offshore construction standards only modestly mitigated the production losses.2022-08-09T11:48:11+00:00enWeather the Storms? Hurricanes, Technology and Oil Production2022-08-09Business fluctuations and cyclesClimate changePotential outputStaff Working Paper 2022-36https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/swp2022-36.pdfWeather the Storms? Hurricanes, Technology and Oil ProductionJohan BrannlundGeoffrey R. DunbarReinhard EllwangerMatthew KrutkiewiczAugust 2022CC2C22C23QQ4Q40Q48Q5Q54