July 13, 2006
Posts
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May 19, 1999
Release of the Monetary Policy Report
This morning we released our ninth Monetary Policy Report. The economic and financial situation is much improved since our previous Report in November. Financial markets have steadied in Southeast Asia, and prospects are good for a gradual recovery there. In Brazil, the authorities have taken major steps to address their difficulties. Overall, global financial markets […] -
The Zero Bound on Nominal Interest Rates: Implications for the Optimal Monetary Policy in Canada
The authors assess the performance of the Canadian economy under a variety of interest rate rules when the zero bound on nominal interest rates can bind. Their assessment is based on numerical simulations of a dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model in a stochastic environment. Consistent with the literature, the authors find that the probability and consequences […] -
January 24, 2008
Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2008
The Canadian economy grew broadly in line with the Bank’s expectations in the second half of 2007. -
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Measures of Core Inflation in Canada: An Update
We provide an updated evaluation of the value of various measures of core inflation that could be used in the conduct of monetary policy. We find that the Bank of Canada’s current preferred measures of core inflation—CPI-trim, CPI-median and CPI-common—continue to outperform alternative core measures across a range of criteria. -
January 27, 2005
Monetary Policy Report Update – January 2005
The adjustment of the Canadian economy to major global developments continues to shape the economic outlook. -
December 15, 2016
Monitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach
In Monitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach, Bo Young Chang, Michael Januska, Gitanjali Kumar and André Usche discuss how lending that occurs outside the traditional banking system provides benefits to the economy but must be monitored carefully for potential financial sector vulnerabilities. They describe how the Bank defines and measures shadow banking and how it assesses vulnerabilities in the sector, using an approach that examines both markets and entities.
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A Counterfactual Valuation of the Stock Index as a Predictor of Crashes
Stock market fundamentals would not seem to meaningfully predict returns over a shorter-term horizon—instead, I shift focus to severe downside risk (i.e., crashes). -
June 2, 1999
Canadian economic performance at the end of the twentieth century
As the curtain comes down on the twentieth century and we move on to the next millennium, it is difficult to resist the temptation to be both retrospective and prospective.