November 19, 2009
Posts
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Innovation and Growth with Financial, and Other, Frictions
The generation and implementation of ideas, or knowledge, is crucial for economic performance. We study this process in a model of endogenous growth with frictions. -
Monetary Policy and Financial Stability: Cross-Country Evidence
Central banks may face challenges in achieving their price stability goals when financial stability risks are present. There is, however, considerable heterogeneity among central banks with respect to how they manage these potential trade-offs. -
The Role of Long-Term Contracting in Business Lending
This paper examines inefficiencies arising from a lack of long-term contracting in small business lending in China. -
Is the Discretionary Income Effect of Oil Price Shocks a Hoax?
The transmission of oil price shocks has been a question of central interest in macroeconomics since the 1970s. There has been renewed interest in this question after the large and persistent fall in the real price of oil in 2014–16. In the context of this debate, Ramey (2017) makes the striking claim that the existing literature on the transmission of oil price shocks is fundamentally confused about the question of how to quantify the effect of oil price shocks. -
The Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment
Risk assessment models are an important component of the Bank’s analytical tool kit for assessing the resilience of the financial system. We describe the Framework for Risk Identification and Assessment (FRIDA), a suite of models developed at the Bank of Canada to quantify the impact of financial stability risks to the broader economy and a range of financial system participants (households, businesses and banks). -
November 9, 2000
Bank of Canada releases semi-annual Monetary Policy Report
The Bank of Canada today released its twelfth semi-annual Monetary Policy Report in which it discusses economic and financial trends in the context of Canada’s inflation-control strategy. The Monetary Policy Report is published every May and November. -
May 1, 2001
Release of the Monetary Policy Report
This morning, we released our spring 2001 Monetary Policy Report. In the six months since the November 2000 Report, the pace of economic expansion in Canada has slackened, primarily because the economic slowdown in the United States has been more pronounced than anticipated. The extent of the easing in economic activity in Canada is the […] -
May 1, 2001
Opening Statement before the House of Commons Standing Committee on Finance
The Report provides our latest assessment of the outlook for economic growth and inflation in Canada. Before I give you a flavour of that assessment, I would like to say a word about the objective of Canadian monetary policy and how we go about achieving it. -
January 15, 2024
Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations—Fourth Quarter of 2023
Consumers believe inflation has fallen, but their expectations for inflation in the near term are showing little progress in returning to pre-pandemic levels. Slow progress may be due to persistently high inflation expectations for services such as rent. In addition, consumers increasingly think domestic factors, such as high government spending, are supporting high inflation, and they believe these factors will take longer to resolve than global factors. Consumers have adjusted their behaviour in response to prolonged high inflation—more people are paying attention to inflation and changing their spending habits. However, actions that may support inflation, such as seeking wage increases to offset it, are dissipating. The negative effects of high interest rates are broadening, and indicators of household financial stress are deteriorating. Consumers remain uncertain about the economic outlook, and this uncertainty is weighing on their spending plans. Workers think the labour market has weakened slightly. However, expectations for wage growth remain high, supported by cost-of-living adjustments in some workers’ wage contracts.