E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics
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Canada's Pioneering Experience with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the 1950s: (Hard) Lessons Learned for Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy
This paper revisits Canada's pioneering experience with floating exchange rate over the period 1950–1962. It examines whether the floating rate was the best option for Canada in the 1950s by developing and estimating a New Keynesian small open economy model of the Canadian economy. -
Cyclical Behavior of Debt and Equity Using a Panel of Canadian Firms
We document the cyclical behavior of debt, equity, and retained earnings for different firm categories using firm-level Canadian data. -
Trend Inflation, Wage and Price Rigidities, and Welfare
This paper studies the steady-state costs of inflation in a general-equilibrium model with real per capita output growth and staggered nominal price and wage contracts. -
Asset-Price Misalignments and Monetary Policy: How Flexible Should Inflation-Targeting Regimes Be?
The authors analyze the extent to which inflation-targeting frameworks should incorporate flexibility in order to respond to asset-price misalignments and other atypical events. They examine the costs and benefits of adding flexibility to the Bank's current inflation-targeting framework, and conclude that maintaining low and stable consumer price inflation is the best contribution that monetary policy […] -
Liquidity, Redistribution, and the Welfare Cost of Inflation
This paper studies the long run welfare costs of inflation in a micro-founded model with trading frictions and costly liquidity management. -
The Canadian Business Cycle: A Comparison of Models
This paper examines the ability of linear and nonlinear models to replicate features of real Canadian GDP. We evaluate the models using various business-cycle metrics. -
Unanticipated Defaults and Losses in Canada's Large-Value Payments System, Revisited
Recent work at the Bank of Canada studied the impact of default in Canada’s large-value payments system, and concluded that participants could readily manage their potential losses (McVanel 2005). In an extension of that work, the authors use a much larger set of daily payments data – with three times as many observations – to […] -
Cross-Country Estimates of the Degree of Fiscal Dominance and Central Bank Independence
This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policies, and their joint role in the determination of the price level. -
Gold Prices and Inflation
Using data for 14 countries over the 1994 to 2005 period, we assess the leading indicator properties of gold at horizons ranging from 6 to 24 months.