E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
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Y a-t-il eu surinvestissement au Canada durant la seconde moitié des années 1990?
This study on overinvestment differs from the existing literature in that investment in machinery and equipment is modelled as a structural vector autoregression with identification achieved by imposing long-run restrictions, as in Blanchard and Quah (1989). -
State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent U.S. Inflation?
Inflation equals the product of two terms: an extensive margin (the fraction of items with price changes) and an intensive margin (the average size of those changes). -
Une approche éclectique d'estimation du PIB potentiel pour le Royaume-Uni
The author describes results obtained by using a new methodology to estimate potential output for the United Kingdom. -
The Transmission of World Shocks to Emerging-Market Countries: An Empirical Analysis
The first step in designing effective policies to stabilize an economy is to understand business cycles. No country is isolated from the world economy and external shocks are becoming increasingly important. -
Real Return Bonds, Inflation Expectations, and the Break-Even Inflation Rate
According to the Fisher hypothesis, the gap between Canadian nominal and Real Return Bond yields (or break-even inflation rate) should be a good measure of inflation expectations. -
Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Fiscal Shocks in a Small Open Economy
The author studies the macroeconomic consequences of discretionary changes in the fiscal policy instruments for Canada. -
The U.S. New Keynesian Phillips Curve: An Empirical Assessment
The authors examine the evidence presented by Galí and Gertler (1999) and Galí, Gertler, and Lopez-Salido (2001, 2003) that the inflation dynamics in the United States can be well-described by the New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC). -
Investment, Private Information, and Social Learning: A Case Study of the Semiconductor Industry
Social learning models of investment provide an interesting explanation for sudden changes in investment behaviour. -
The New Keynesian Hybrid Phillips Curve: An Assessment of Competing Specifications for the United States
Inflation forecasting is fundamental to monetary policy. In practice, however, economists are faced with competing goals: accuracy and theoretical consistency.