Louis Poirier - Latest - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-28T18:29:46+00:00Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2023
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/05/staff-analytical-note-2023-5/
We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.5% in 2022 to 2.8% by 2026. Compared with the April 2022 staff assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, unchanged from the last annual assessment.2023-05-09T13:35:36+00:00enAssessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 20232023-05-09Assessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 2022
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/04/staff-analytical-note-2022-4/
We expect global potential output growth to increase from 2.7% in 2021 to 2.9% by 2024. Compared with the April 2021 assessment, global potential output growth is marginally slower. The current range for the US neutral rate is 2% to 3%, 0.25 percentage points higher than staff’s last assessment.2022-04-13T14:09:59+00:00enAssessing global potential output growth and the US neutral rate: April 20222022-04-13Assessing Global Potential Output Growth: April 2018
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/04/staff-analytical-note-2018-9/
This note presents our estimates of potential output growth for the global economy through 2020. Overall, we expect global potential output growth to remain broadly stable over the projection horizon, averaging 3.3 per cent, although there is considerable uncertainty surrounding these estimates.2018-04-15T10:00:01+00:00enAssessing Global Potential Output Growth: April 20182018-04-15Did U.S. Consumers Respond to the 2014–2015 Oil Price Shock? Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/03/staff-working-paper-2018-13/
The impact of oil price shocks on the U.S. economy is a topic of considerable debate. In this paper, we examine the response of U.S. consumers to the 2014–2015 negative oil price shock using representative survey data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey.2018-03-14T14:41:34+00:00enDid U.S. Consumers Respond to the 2014–2015 Oil Price Shock? Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Survey2018-03-14Business fluctuations and cyclesDomestic demand and componentsRecent economic and financial developmentsStaff Working Paper 2018-13https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/swp2018-13.pdfDid U.S. Consumers Respond to the 2014–2015 Oil Price Shock? Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure SurveyPatrick AlexanderLouis PoirierMarch 2018DD1D12EE2E21QQ4Q43Assessing Global Potential Output Growth
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2017/04/staff-analytical-note-2017-3/
This note estimates potential output growth for the global economy through 2019. While there is considerable uncertainty surrounding our estimates, overall we expect global potential output growth to rise modestly, from 3.1 per cent in 2016 to 3.4 per cent in 2019.2017-04-12T10:00:07+00:00enAssessing Global Potential Output Growth2017-04-12