Julien McDonald-Guimond - Bank Publications - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-29T15:12:41+00:00Evolving Temperature Dynamics in Canada: Preliminary Evidence Based on 60 Years of Data
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2021/05/staff-working-paper-2021-22/
Are summers getting hotter? Do daily temperatures change more than they used to? Using daily Canadian temperature data from 1960 to 2020 and modern econometric methods, we provide economists and policy-makers evidence on the important climate change issue of evolving temperatures.2021-05-17T13:22:49+00:00enEvolving Temperature Dynamics in Canada: Preliminary Evidence Based on 60 Years of Data2021-05-17Climate changeEconometric and statistical methodsStaff Working Paper 2021-22https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/swp2021-22.pdfStaff Working Paper 2021-22Robert AmanoMarc-André GosselinJulien McDonald-GuimondMay 2021CC2C22QQ5Q54Potential output in Canada: 2020 reassessment
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2020/10/staff-analytical-note-2020-25/
After COVID-19, we expect potential output growth to stabilize around 1.2 percent. This is lower than the 2010–18 average growth of 1.8 percent. Relative to the April 2019 reassessment, the growth profile is revised down. Given the unknown course of the pandemic, uncertainty around these estimates is higher than in previous years.2020-10-22T07:33:34+00:00enPotential output in Canada: 2020 reassessment2020-10-22The neutral rate in Canada: 2020 update
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2020/10/staff-analytical-note-2020-24/
The neutral rate of interest is important for central banks because it helps measure the stance of monetary policy. We present updated estimates of the neutral rate in Canada using the most recent data. We expect the COVID-19 pandemic to significantly affect the fundamental drivers of the Canadian neutral rate.2020-10-22T07:11:26+00:00enThe neutral rate in Canada: 2020 update2020-10-22Potential Output in Canada: 2018 Reassessment
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/04/staff-analytical-note-2018-10/
This note summarizes the reassessment of potential output, conducted by the Bank of Canada for the April 2018 Monetary Policy Report. Overall, the profile for potential output growth is expected to remain flat at 1.8 per cent between 2018 and 2020 and 1.9 per cent in 2021.2018-04-16T10:00:00+00:00enPotential Output in Canada: 2018 Reassessment2018-04-16