E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-29T05:19:53+00:00How well can large banks in Canada withstand a severe economic downturn?
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-analytical-note-2022-6/
We examine the potential impacts of a severe economic shock on the resilience of major banks in Canada. We find these banks would suffer significant financial losses but nevertheless remain resilient. This underscores the role well-capitalized banks and sound underwriting practices play in supporting economic activity in a downturn.2022-05-24T15:00:17+00:00enHow well can large banks in Canada withstand a severe economic downturn?2022-05-24Financial Intermediaries and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from a High-Frequency Identification
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-working-paper-2022-24/
We provide empirical evidence of effects to the aggregate economy from surprises about financial intermediaries’ net worth based on a high-frequency identification strategy. We estimate that news of a 1% decline in intermediaries’ net worth leads to a 0.2%–0.4% decrease in the market value of nonfinancial firms.2022-05-20T15:46:50+00:00enFinancial Intermediaries and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from a High-Frequency Identification2022-05-20Asset pricingBusiness fluctuations and cyclesCredit and credit aggregatesFinancial institutionsFinancial marketsFinancial system regulation and policiesMonetary and financial indicatorsStaff Working Paper 2022-24https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/swp2022-24.pdfStaff Working Paper 2022-24Pablo OttonelloWenting SongMay 2022EE3E32E4E44E5E51GG0G01G1G12G2G21G23G24G3G32Transmission of Cyber Risk Through the Canadian Wholesale Payment System
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-working-paper-2022-23/
This paper studies how the impact of a cyber attack that paralyzes one or multiple banks' ability to send payments would transmit to other banks through the Canadian wholesale payment system. Based on historical payment data, we simulate a wide range of scenarios and evaluate the total payment disruption in the system.2022-05-16T11:11:07+00:00enTransmission of Cyber Risk Through the Canadian Wholesale Payment System2022-05-16Financial institutionsFinancial stabilityPayment clearing and settlement systemsStaff Working Paper 2022-23https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/swp2022-23.pdfAnneke KosseZhentong LuMay 2022CC4C49EE4E42E47GG2G21Expectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-working-paper-2022-21/
Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of equilibrium asset pricing. This paper presents a new equilibrium model of subjective expectations to explain the joint historical dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads).2022-05-11T15:27:58+00:00enExpectation-Driven Term Structure of Equity and Bond Yields2022-05-11Asset pricingFinancial marketsInterest ratesStaff Working Paper 2022-21https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/swp2022-21.pdfMing ZengGuihai ZhaoMay 2022EE4E43GG0G00G1G12Nowcasting Canadian GDP with Density Combinations
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-discussion-paper-2022-12/
We present a tool for creating density nowcasts for Canadian real GDP growth. We demonstrate that the combined densities are a reliable and accurate tool for assessing the state of the economy and risks to the outlook.2022-05-09T15:44:55+00:00enNowcasting Canadian GDP with Density Combinations2022-05-09Econometric and statistical methodsStaff Discussion Paper 2022-12https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/sdp2022-12.pdfTony ChernisTaylor WebleyMay 2022CC5C52C53EE3E7Resilience of bank liquidity ratios in the presence of a central bank digital currency
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-analytical-note-2022-5/
Could Canadian banks continue to meet their regulatory liquidity requirements after the introduction of a cash-like retail central bank digital currency (CBDC)? We conduct a hypothetical exercise to estimate how a CBDC could affect bank liquidity by increasing the run-off rates of transactional retail deposits under four increasingly severe scenarios.2022-05-09T11:00:50+00:00enResilience of bank liquidity ratios in the presence of a central bank digital currency2022-05-09More Than Words: Fed Chairs’ Communication During Congressional Testimonies
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-working-paper-2022-20/
We measure soft information contained in the congressional testimonies of U.S. Federal Reserve Chairs and analyze its effect on financial markets. Increases in the Chair’s text-, voice-, or face-emotion indices during these testimonies generally raise stock prices and lower their volatility.2022-05-05T10:38:08+00:00enMore Than Words: Fed Chairs’ Communication During Congressional Testimonies2022-05-05Central bank researchFinancial marketsMonetary policy communicationsStaff Working Paper 2022-20https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/swp2022-20.pdfMore Than Words: Fed Chairs’ Communication During Congressional TestimoniesMichelle AlexopoulosXinfen HanOleksiy KryvtsovXu ZhangMay 2022EE5E52E58E7E71Identifying Financially Remote First Nations Reserves
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2022/05/staff-discussion-paper-2022-11/
Chen et al. (2021) show that almost one-third of First Nations band offices in Canada are within 1 kilometre (km) of an automated banking machine (ABM) or financial institution (FI) branch and more than half are within 5 km.2022-05-03T13:16:11+00:00enIdentifying Financially Remote First Nations Reserves2022-05-03Bank notesDigital currencies and fintechFinancial institutionsFinancial servicesPayment clearing and settlement systemsStaff Discussion Paper 2022-11https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/sdp2022-11.pdfIdentifying Financially Remote First Nations ReservesHeng ChenWalter EngertKim HuynhDaneal O’HabibMay 2022EE4E41E42E5GG2G21