E37 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-29T04:49:37+00:00Asymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/03/staff-analytical-note-2018-6/
When financial system vulnerabilities are elevated, they can give rise to asymmetric risks to the economic outlook. To illustrate this, I consider the economic outlook presented in the Bank of Canada’s October 2017 Monetary Policy Report in the context of two key financial system vulnerabilities: high levels of household indebtedness and housing market imbalances.2018-03-14T10:15:59+00:00enAsymmetric Risks to the Economic Outlook Arising from Financial System Vulnerabilities2018-03-14Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/03/staff-working-paper-2018-10/
We use a new real-time database for Canada to study various output gap measures. This includes recently developed measures based on models incorporating many variables as inputs (and therefore requiring real-time data for many variables).2018-03-09T10:53:00+00:00enDismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation2018-03-09Econometric and statistical methodsInflation and pricesPotential outputStaff Working Paper 2018-10https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/swp2018-10.pdfDismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting InflationLise PichetteMarie-Noëlle RobitailleMohanad SalamehPierre St-AmantMarch 2018CC5C53EE3E37