Monetary policy and uncertainty - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-29T10:49:51+00:00Transparency and the Response of Interest Rates to the Publication of Macroeconomic Data
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/parente.pdf
The benefits of transparency—the outcome of the measures taken by the central bank to allow financial markets and economic agents to understand the factors it takes into account in formulating monetary policy—are now widely recognized. These benefits include smoother implementation of monetary policy and increased effectiveness as markets improve their ability to anticipate the Bank's policy decisions and account for them in their operations.
How interest rates respond to the publication of macroeconomic data depends on the degree of transparency in monetary policy, as the rates will rise or fall as a reflection of the market's revised expectations. Before the Bank of Canada adopted initiatives to improve transparency, such as the inflation-control targets, the semi-annual publication of the Monetary Policy Report and Updates, and the fixed announcement dates, changes to the overnight rate created some volatility in interest rates, and publishing Canadian macroeconomic data did not appear to have a major impact on rates. This article shows how the Bank of Canada's steps towards greater transparency have increased the impact of Canadian data on short-term interest rates and have improved financial markets' understanding of how monetary policy decisions are taken.2002-12-20T08:12:11+00:00enTransparency and the Response of Interest Rates to the Publication of Macroeconomic Data2002-12-20The Performance and Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in Models of the Canadian Economy
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2002/12/technical-report-no92/
In this report, we evaluate several simple monetary policy rules in twelve private and public sector models of the Canadian economy. Our results indicate that none of the simple policy rules we examined is robust to model uncertainty, in that no single rule performs well in all models.2002-12-01T09:30:17+00:00enThe Performance and Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in Models of the Canadian Economy2002-12-01Monetary policy and uncertaintyTechnical Report 92 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/tr92.pdfThe Performance and Robustness of Simple Monetary Policy Rules in Models of the Canadian EconomyDenise CôtéJohn KuszczakJean-Paul LamYing LiuPierre St-AmantDecember 2002EE5E52E58Labour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy Regimes
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2002/11/working-paper-2002-32/
We develop an equilibrium model of the monetary policy transmission mechanism that highlights information frictions in the market for money and search frictions in the market for labour.2002-11-01T13:50:16+00:00enLabour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy Regimes2002-11-01Monetary policy and uncertaintyMonetary policy transmissionWorking Paper 2002-32 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/wp02-32.pdfLabour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy RegimesDavid AndolfattoScott HendryKevin MoranNovember 2002EE4E5Monetary Policy and Uncertainty
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/longworth_e.pdf
Central banks must cope with considerable uncertainty about what will happen in the economy when formulating monetary policy. This article describes the different types of uncertainty that arise and looks at examples of uncertainty that the Bank has recently encountered. It then reviews the strategies employed by the Bank to deal with this problem.
The other articles in this special issue focus on three of these major strategies.2002-08-21T09:55:26+00:00enMonetary Policy and Uncertainty2002-08-21The Role of Simple Rules in the Conduct of Canadian Monetary Policy
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/cote_e.pdf
The third strategy employed by the Bank when dealing with uncertainty is the consideration of appropriate simple reaction functions or "rules" for the setting of the policy interest rate. Since John Taylor's presentation of his much-discussed rule, research on simple policy rules has exploded. Simple rules have several advantages. In particular, they are easy to construct and communicate and are believed by some to be robust, in the sense of generating good results in a variety of economic models.
This article provides an overview of the recent research regarding the usefulness and robustness of simple monetary policy rules, particularly in models of the Canadian economy. It also describes and explains the role of simple rules in the conduct of monetary policy in Canada.2002-08-18T10:03:44+00:00enThe Role of Simple Rules in the Conduct of Canadian Monetary Policy2002-08-18Taylor Rules in the Quarterly Projection Model
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2002/01/working-paper-2002-1/
In recent years, there has been a lot of interest in Taylor-type rules. Evidence in the literature suggests that Taylor-type rules are optimal in a number of models and are fairly robust across different models.2002-01-01T12:54:29+00:00enTaylor Rules in the Quarterly Projection Model2002-01-01Economic modelsMonetary policy and uncertaintyMonetary policy frameworkWorking Paper 2002-1 https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/wp02-1.pdfTaylor Rules in the Quarterly Projection ModelBen FungDinah MacleanJamie ArmourJanuary 2002EE5E52