Staff working papers provide a forum for staff to publish work-in-progress research intended for journal publication.
1290
result(s)
Gold Prices and Inflation
Staff Working Paper 2007-35
Greg Tkacz
Using data for 14 countries over the 1994 to 2005 period, we assess the leading indicator properties of gold at horizons ranging from 6 to 24 months.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Exchange rates,
Inflation and prices
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E31,
E4,
E44
Oil Price Movements and the Global Economy: A Model-Based Assessment
Staff Working Paper 2007-34
Selim Elekdag,
René Lalonde,
Douglas Laxton,
Dirk Muir,
Paolo Pesenti
We develop a five-region version (Canada, an oil exporter, the United States, emerging Asia and Japan plus the euro area) of the Global Economy Model (GEM) encompassing production and trade of crude oil, and use it to study the international transmission mechanism of shocks that drive oil prices.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Economic models,
Inflation and prices,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
E,
E6,
E66,
F,
F3,
F32,
F4,
F47
Domestic versus External Borrowing and Fiscal Policy in Emerging Markets
Staff Working Paper 2007-33
Garima Vasishtha
Domestic public debt issued by emerging markets has risen significantly relative to international debt in recent years. Some recent empirical evidence also suggests that sovereigns have defaulted differentially on debt held by domestic and external creditors.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Debt management,
International topics
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F30,
H,
H2,
H21,
H6,
H63
Computing Optimal Policy in a Timeless-Perspective: An Application to a Small-Open Economy
Staff Working Paper 2007-32
Michel Juillard,
Florian Pelgrin
Since the contribution of Kydland and Prescott (1977), it is well known that the optimal Ramsey policy is time inconsistent. In a series of recent contributions, Woodford (2003) proposes a new methodology to circumvent this problem, namely the timeless perspective solution.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Monetary policy framework
JEL Code(s):
C,
C6,
E,
E5,
E6
Micro Foundations of Price-Setting Behaviour: Evidence from Canadian Firms
Staff Working Paper 2007-31
Daniel de Munnik,
Kuan Xu
How do firms adjust prices in the marketplace? Do they tend to adjust prices infrequently in response to changes in market conditions? If so, why? These remain key questions in macroeconomics, particularly for central banks that work to keep inflation low and stable.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Inflation and prices,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
D,
D4,
D40,
E,
E3,
E30,
L,
L1,
L11
Term Structure Transmission of Monetary Policy
Staff Working Paper 2007-30
Sharon Kozicki,
P. A. Tinsley
Under bond-rate transmission of monetary policy, the authors show that a generalized Taylor Principle applies, in which the average anticipated path of policy responses to inflation is subject to a lower bound of unity. This result helps explain how bond rates may exhibit stable responses to inflation, even in periods of passive policy.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Interest rates,
Monetary policy transmission
JEL Code(s):
E,
E3,
E5,
N,
N1
Exchange Rate Regimes, Globalisation, and the Cost of Capital in Emerging Markets
Staff Working Paper 2007-29
Antonio Diez de los Rios
This paper presents a multifactor asset pricing model for currency, bond, and stock returns for ten emerging markets to investigate the effect of the exchange rate regime on the cost of capital and the integration of emerging financial markets. Since there is evidence that a fixed exchange rate regime reduces the currency risk premia demanded by foreign investors, the tentative conclusion is that a fixed exchange rate regime system can help reduce the cost of capital in emerging markets.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Development economics,
Exchange rate regimes
JEL Code(s):
F,
F3,
F30,
F33,
G,
G1,
G15
Modelling Payments Systems: A Review of the Literature
Staff Working Paper 2007-28
Jonathan Chiu,
Alexandra Lai
Payments systems play a fundamental role in an economy by providing the mechanisms through which payments arising from transactions can be settled. The existing literature on the economics of payments systems is large but loosely organized, in that each model uses a distinct set-up and sometimes a distinct equilibrium concept.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Payment clearing and settlement systems
JEL Code(s):
E,
E4,
E42,
E5,
E58,
G,
G2,
G21
Price Formation and Liquidity Provision in Short-Term Fixed Income Markets
Staff Working Paper 2007-27
Chris D'Souza,
Ingrid Lo,
Stephen Sapp
Differences in market structures may affect the manner in which fundamental information is incorporated into prices. High levels of quote and trade transparency plus substantial quoting obligations in European government securities markets ensure that prices are informationally efficient.
Content Type(s):
Staff research,
Staff working papers
Topic(s):
Financial markets,
Interest rates,
Market structure and pricing
JEL Code(s):
G,
G1,
G12,
G14,
G15