Marie-Noëlle Robitaille - Latest - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-28T15:07:49+00:00The Trend Unemployment Rate in Canada: Searching for the Unobservable
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2019/03/staff-working-paper-2019-13/
In this paper, we assess several methods that have been used to measure the Canadian trend unemployment rate (TUR). We also consider improvements and extensions to some existing methods.2019-03-29T16:16:07+00:00enThe Trend Unemployment Rate in Canada: Searching for the Unobservable2019-03-29Business fluctuations and cyclesEconomic modelsInflation and pricesLabour marketsStaff Working Paper 2019-13https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/swp2019-13.pdfThe Trend Unemployment Rate in Canada: Searching for the UnobservableDany BrouilletteMarie-Noëlle RobitailleLaurence Savoie-ChabotPierre St-AmantBassirou GueyeElise NelsonMarch 2019CC5C52C53EE2E24E27An Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output: The Multivariate State-Space Framework
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/11/staff-discussion-paper-2018-14/
In this paper, we extend the state-space methodology proposed by Blagrave et al. (2015) and decompose Canadian potential output into trend labour productivity and trend labour input. As in Blagrave et al. (2015), we include output growth and inflation expectations from consensus forecasts to help refine our estimates.2018-11-23T09:53:57+00:00enAn Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output: The Multivariate State-Space Framework2018-11-23Economic modelsPotential outputStaff Discussion Paper 2018-14https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/SDP2018-14.pdfAn Alternative Estimate of Canadian Potential Output: The Multivariate State-Space FrameworkLise PichetteMaria BernierMarie-Noëlle RobitailleNovember 2018CC5EE0E5Dismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/03/staff-working-paper-2018-10/
We use a new real-time database for Canada to study various output gap measures. This includes recently developed measures based on models incorporating many variables as inputs (and therefore requiring real-time data for many variables).2018-03-09T10:53:00+00:00enDismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting Inflation2018-03-09Econometric and statistical methodsInflation and pricesPotential outputStaff Working Paper 2018-10https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/swp2018-10.pdfDismiss the Gap? A Real-Time Assessment of the Usefulness of Canadian Output Gaps in Forecasting InflationLise PichetteMarie-Noëlle RobitailleMohanad SalamehPierre St-AmantMarch 2018CC5C53EE3E37Assessing the Business Outlook Survey Indicator Using Real-Time Data
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2017/04/staff-discussion-paper-2017-5/
Every quarter, the Bank of Canada conducts quarterly consultations with businesses across Canada, referred to as the Business Outlook Survey (BOS). A principal-component analysis conducted by Pichette and Rennison (2011) led to the development of the BOS indicator, which summarizes survey results and is used by the Bank as a gauge of overall business sentiment.2017-04-03T10:30:19+00:00enAssessing the Business Outlook Survey Indicator Using Real-Time Data2017-04-03Business fluctuations and cyclesRegional economic developmentsStaff Discussion Paper 2017‐5https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/sdp2017-5.pdfAssessing the Business Outlook Survey Indicator Using Real-Time DataLise PichetteMarie-Noëlle RobitailleApril 2017CC5C53C8C82EE3E37