Bo Young Chang - Latest - Bank of Canada
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Bank of Canada RSS Feedsen2024-03-29T02:27:27+00:00Estimating the Slope of the Demand Function at Auctions for Government of Canada Bonds
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2023/06/staff-discussion-paper-2023-12/
We use bid data from Government of Canada bond auctions between 1999 and 2021 to gauge the yield sensitivity of these bonds to the issuance amount. Our new metric estimates the demand function of the bidders at each auction and offers insights into the relationship between supply and yield of government bonds.2023-06-26T13:32:39+00:00enEstimating the Slope of the Demand Function at Auctions for Government of Canada Bonds2023-06-26Debt managementInterest ratesStaff Discussion Paper 2023-12https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/sdp2023-12.pdfEstimating the Slope of the Demand Function at Auctions for Government of Canada BondsBo Young ChangJune 2023DD4D44GG1G12A Simple Method for Extracting the Probability of Default from American Put Option Prices
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2020/04/staff-working-paper-2020-15/
A put option is a financial contract that gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a specific price by (or at) a specific date. A put option can therefore provide its holder insurance against a large drop in the stock price. This makes the prices of put options an ideal source of information for a market-based measure of the probability of a firm’s default.2020-04-20T13:31:12+00:00enA Simple Method for Extracting the Probability of Default from American Put Option Prices2020-04-20Asset pricingFinancial marketsMarket structure and pricingStaff Working Paper 2020-15https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/swp2020-15.pdfA Simple Method for Extracting the Probability of Default from American Put Option PricesBo Young ChangGreg OrosiApril 2020GG1G13G3G33The Cost of the Government Bond Buyback and Switch Programs in Canada
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2018/12/staff-analytical-note-2018-41/
This note examines the costs of the Government of Canada bond buyback and switch programs between 1998 and 2016. Our analysis indicates that the auction design of the buyback program was effective in retiring government debt with minimal costs resulting from bid shading in auctions and price impact.2018-12-11T14:10:58+00:00enThe Cost of the Government Bond Buyback and Switch Programs in Canada2018-12-11Equity Option-Implied Probability of Default and Equity Recovery Rate
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2016/12/staff-working-paper-2016-58/
There is a close link between prices of equity options and the default probability of a firm. We show that in the presence of positive expected equity recovery, standard methods that assume zero equity recovery at default misestimate the option-implied default probability.2016-12-15T12:23:13+00:00enEquity Option-Implied Probability of Default and Equity Recovery Rate2016-12-15Asset pricingFinancial marketsMarket structure and pricingStaff Working Paper 2016-58https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/swp2016-58.pdfEquity Option-Implied Probability of Default and Equity Recovery RateBo Young ChangGreg OrosiDecember 2016GG1G13G3G33Monitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/fsr-december-2016-chang.pdf
In Monitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach, Bo Young Chang, Michael Januska, Gitanjali Kumar and André Usche discuss how lending that occurs outside the traditional banking system provides benefits to the economy but must be monitored carefully for potential financial sector vulnerabilities. They describe how the Bank defines and measures shadow banking and how it assesses vulnerabilities in the sector, using an approach that examines both markets and entities.2016-12-15T10:30:27+00:00enMonitoring Shadow Banking in Canada: A Hybrid Approach2016-12-15Measuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Realized and Implied Volatility
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/boc-review-spring14-chang.pdf
Uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Canada’s future policy rates is measured using implied volatility computed from interest rate options and realized volatility computed from intraday prices of interest rate futures. Both volatility measures show that uncertainty decreased following major policy actions taken by the Bank in response to the 2007–09 financial crisis. Findings also indicate that, on average, uncertainty decreases following the Bank’s policy rate announcements.2014-05-13T09:47:34+00:00enMeasuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Realized and Implied Volatility2014-05-13Measuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Implied Volatility and Realized Volatility
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2013/10/working-paper-2013-37/
We measure uncertainty surrounding the central bank’s future policy rates using implied volatility computed from interest rate option prices and realized volatility computed from intraday prices of interest rate futures.2013-10-25T09:52:50+00:00enMeasuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Implied Volatility and Realized Volatility2013-10-25Monetary and financial indicatorsMonetary policy and uncertaintyWorking Paper 2013-37https://www.bankofcanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/wp2013-37.pdfMeasuring Uncertainty in Monetary Policy Using Implied Volatility and Realized VolatilityBo Young ChangBruno FeunouOctober 2013EE4